Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $142.5
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.36K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$109.16
Polymarket Trader
0x80E8efc0FA3c29C6dde50C8CEEC591b016769010-1763011882938
0x80e8efc0fa3c29c6dde50c8ceec591b016769010
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.37K
- Realized PnL
- $1.35K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $1.04K
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $60.5
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $27.5
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.1%
- Current value
- $189.54
- Potential payout
- $540
- Potential profit
- $350.46
- Multiplier
- 2.85x
- User PnL
- -$15.58
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $331.47
- Potential profit
- $331.47
- User PnL
- -$299.99
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $113.6
- Potential profit
- $113.6
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $90
- User PnL
- -$53.1
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80.01
- Potential profit
- $80.01
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.58
- Potential profit
- $59.58
- User PnL
- -$35
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.58
- Potential profit
- $55.58
- User PnL
- -$27.65
Down position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$19
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $1.7
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $38.3
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- -$4.38
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $493.93
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $289.53
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $60
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.46
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.68
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.42
Yes position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34.46
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.22
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.61
Yes position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.64
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.94
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.43
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.42
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.96
Yes position
Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.81
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.86
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.98
Yes position
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.96
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.7
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
Yes position
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.75
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.72
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?Yes 50.8% 100 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?Yes 99.5% 240 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 19% 239.99 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 35% 10 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 65% 100 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 28% 10 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 39% 10 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?Yes 97.6% 200 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?Yes 97.6% 100.01 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?Yes 97.6% 21.69 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?Yes 97.2% 100 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?Yes 97% 221.71 shares