No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $152.63
- Potential payout
- $175.44
- Potential profit
- $22.81
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $52.63
Polymarket Trader
demopulse
0x80e917cd134915e6139f9872427bcbdd5c7d4ee4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $498.05
- Realized PnL
- $316.93
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $114.68
- Potential payout
- $167.42
- Potential profit
- $52.74
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $9.44
No position
Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $116.5
- Potential payout
- $116.67
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- User PnL
- $6.83
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $51.04
- Potential payout
- $69.44
- Potential profit
- $18.4
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $1.04
Yes position
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $34.76
- Potential payout
- $35.8
- Potential profit
- $1.04
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $4.76
No position
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $15.29
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $3.94
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $5.29
No position
Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $13.15
- Potential payout
- $13.51
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $3.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.77
No position
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.82
No position
North Korea missile launch by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.11
No position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.62
No position
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.27
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.9
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.22
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.08
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.54
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.24
No position
Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.58
No position
Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.22
Yes position
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.87
No position
Will Elon Musk attend Trump’s Xi summit?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump Leave China on May 14?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Tim Cook attend Trump’s Xi summit?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 57% 175.44 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?No 67.7% 73.85 shares
- Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?No 13% 46.15 shares
- Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?Yes 6% 16.67 shares
- Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?No 66% 7.58 shares
- Will Trump attend his son's wedding?Yes 4.9% 102.99 shares
- Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No 12% 16.67 shares
- Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 19 be between 85 and 90?No 3.4% 145.33 shares
- Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?No 50% 20 shares
- Will "Is God Is" score at least 93 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No 7.3% 13.69 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?Yes 6.2% 16.13 shares
- Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 19 be between 85 and 90?No 18.9% 5.29 shares