Yes position
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $2.24K
- Potential payout
- $2.25K
- Potential profit
- $5.62
- User PnL
- $88.23
Polymarket Trader
crabpool
0x810094f62010b409a4e4146e37a9a126ffee5408
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.39K
- Realized PnL
- $89.84
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $143.09
- Potential payout
- $149.99
- Potential profit
- $6.9
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.14
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
Yes position
Will Jorge Nieto finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4
Yes position
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will Lucas Martínez Quarta be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 79% 100 shares
- Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?No 93% 189 shares
- Will Lucas Martínez Quarta be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?No 98% 19.99 shares
- Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?No 82% 10.59 shares
- Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?No 84% 300 shares
- Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?Yes 95.9% 2,000 shares