Polymarket Trader

0x81058a331eE685F0B9d48A2Cd8edb5b8677FBE0B-1777270787291

0x81058a331ee685f0b9d48a2cd8edb5b8677fbe0b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $98.95
Realized PnL: $422.28
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $1.9
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.1
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: -$6.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 22.9%
Current value: $22.9
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $77.1
Multiplier: 4.37x
User PnL: -$10.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 74.2%
Current value: $74.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $25.85
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $24.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.32

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Oman strike Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 33.1% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 50% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 8% 100 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

No 99.7% 22.06 shares
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

No 99.9% 32.03 shares
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

No 99.9% 32.03 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

No 99.7% 22.07 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 11?

No 99.9% 30.03 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 3?

Yes 99.8% 18.04 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 3?

Yes 99.9% 25.03 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Yes 88% 87.8 shares
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?

No 99.6% 27.11 shares