Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $750.9
- Potential payout
- $899.28
- Potential profit
- $148.38
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$4
Polymarket Trader
trancata
0x810b5ab0cef57a8fc91b7103cc5b786d52a6fdae
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.25K
- Realized PnL
- $696.53
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $391.83
- Potential profit
- $391.83
- User PnL
- -$330
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $302.69
- Potential payout
- $306.52
- Potential profit
- $3.83
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $9.44
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $82.75
- Potential payout
- $83.76
- Potential profit
- $1.01
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $5.53
No position
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$30.84
Yes position
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.32
- Potential profit
- $41.32
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $23.76
- Potential payout
- $24.48
- Potential profit
- $0.72
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $20.27
- Potential payout
- $21.8
- Potential profit
- $1.53
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $2.28
Yes position
Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Current value
- $19.93
- Potential payout
- $21.19
- Potential profit
- $1.26
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $18.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $1.1
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.1
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$15.4
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.12
- Potential profit
- $16.12
- User PnL
- -$14.3
Yes position
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.63
- Potential profit
- $11.63
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $10.22
- Potential payout
- $11.24
- Potential profit
- $1.01
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 41%
- Current value
- $2.97
- Potential payout
- $7.25
- Potential profit
- $4.28
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- -$2.03
No position
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.58
- Potential profit
- $6.58
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $6.32
- Potential payout
- $6.49
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.32
Yes position
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.3%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $5.84
- Potential profit
- $4.83
- Multiplier
- 5.77x
- User PnL
- -$3.99
Y
Yes position
Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.4%
- Current value
- $4.71
- Potential payout
- $5.15
- Potential profit
- $0.44
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
No position
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.55
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $282.33
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.81
No position
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.3
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.81
No position
Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.4
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.96
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $13.57
Yes position
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.08
Yes position
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.23
Yes position
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.84
No position
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.49
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.63
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.62
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.62
Yes position
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.37
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.12
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.94
Yes position
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.71
No position
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.22
No position
Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
Yes position
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
Yes position
Claude 4.7 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06
No position
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?No 89% 5 shares
- Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?No 92.7% 16.18 shares
- Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?No 72% 7.74 shares
- Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 77% 6.49 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 69% 7.25 shares
- Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?Yes 85.6% 5.84 shares
- Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?Yes 97% 5.15 shares
- Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?No 76% 6.58 shares
- Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?No 85% 11.76 shares
- Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?No 83% 18 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?Yes 89% 11.24 shares
- Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?Yes 94.4% 21.19 shares