Polymarket Trader

hdm656151

0x8110ff75ab273d75f3411fe8f050b223fbbcfd53

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $596.49
Realized PnL: $189.74
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $219.73
Potential payout: $248.28
Potential profit: $28.55
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $19.73

Yes position

Will Iga Świątek be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 10.9%
Current value: $15.96
Potential payout: $147.06
Potential profit: $131.1
Multiplier: 9.22x
User PnL: $5.96

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.4%
Current value: $20.39
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $90.72
Multiplier: 5.45x
User PnL: $10.39

No position

Will Naomi Osaka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 95.6%
Current value: $99.64
Potential payout: $104.28
Potential profit: $4.64
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.36

No position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $99.64
Potential payout: $102.04
Potential profit: $2.4
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $1.67
Potential payout: $65.79
Potential profit: $64.12
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$3.33

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $21.84
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $40.66
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: $11.84

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $5.82
Potential payout: $58.48
Potential profit: $52.66
Multiplier: 10.05x
User PnL: -$4.18

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 25.6%
Current value: $11.94
Potential payout: $46.73
Potential profit: $34.79
Multiplier: 3.91x
User PnL: $1.94

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.2
Potential profit: $45.2
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $5.8
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $34.2
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$4.2

No position

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $28.76
Potential payout: $35.29
Potential profit: $6.53
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$1.24

No position

Will Cape Verde reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $30.76
Potential payout: $31.51
Potential profit: $0.76
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.76

No position

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $27.03
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $9.84
Potential payout: $25.91
Potential profit: $16.06
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $25.64
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $22.73
User PnL: -$5

Karolina Pliskova position

Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Pliskova vs Iga Swiatek

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $21.74
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 44.1%
Current value: $8.85
Potential payout: $20.08
Potential profit: $11.24
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: $3.85

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $7.6
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $11.63
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $2.6

No position

Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $17.24
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $17.24
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Japan?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$2

No position

Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 57%
Current value: $8.26
Potential payout: $14.49
Potential profit: $6.23
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: -$1.74

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.8

Yes position

Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.82

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.34

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.67

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.67

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.4%
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $9.75

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.57

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.14

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.54

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.24

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.43

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.36

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.13

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.13

Mirra Andreeva position

Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.11

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.97

Under position

England vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.88

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.38

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.38

No position

Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.3

Yes position

Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.27

Tamara Korpatsch position

Roland Garros WTA: Tamara Korpatsch vs Xinyu Wang

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Karolina Muchova position

Bad Homburg Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.01

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in July?

No 85% 35.29 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 87% 57.47 shares
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Yes 39% 25.64 shares
Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Yes 22% 22.73 shares
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Draw at halftime?

Yes 60% 8.33 shares
Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 85% 11.76 shares
Belgium vs. Senegal: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?

No 18% 11.23 shares
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 2 Senegal?

Yes 69% 7.25 shares
Belgium vs. Senegal: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?

No 89% 11.24 shares
Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Under 94% 10.64 shares
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)

Senegal 78% 12.82 shares
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 DR Congo?

Yes 72% 13.89 shares