No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $35.73
- Potential payout
- $37.14
- Potential profit
- $1.41
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.19
Polymarket Trader
MonteKristo
0x812b220a196d4c1da4413f11f0756de681f5bbcf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $148.75
- Realized PnL
- $77.53
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $18.94
- Potential payout
- $23.53
- Potential profit
- $4.59
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$1.06
No position
US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $20
- Potential payout
- $22.22
- Potential profit
- $2.22
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $17.3
- Potential payout
- $17.87
- Potential profit
- $0.57
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.91
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $8.04
- Potential payout
- $9.3
- Potential profit
- $1.26
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $7.99
- Potential payout
- $8.88
- Potential profit
- $0.89
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $8.05
- Potential payout
- $8.36
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $5.52
- Potential payout
- $5.78
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $4.74
- Potential payout
- $5.61
- Potential profit
- $0.87
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 29-July 5?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $5.13
- Potential payout
- $5.27
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $5.25
- Potential payout
- $5.27
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $5.17
- Potential payout
- $5.21
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.17
N
No position
Will Canada reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $3.91
- Potential payout
- $4.13
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $2.97
- Potential payout
- $3.11
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.28
No position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.02
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.88
No position
Will Punjab Kings win the 2026 Indian Premier League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.72
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.56
No position
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46
No position
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 PGA Championship?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96
No position
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.93
No position
Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
No position
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $1.86
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84
No position
Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84
No position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
Will Team Spirit win IEM Rio 2026?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75
No position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 2?No 80.7% 3.26 shares
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 10, 2026?No 95.7% 8.36 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 4?No 85% 5.61 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?No 83% 5.78 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?No 92% 5.22 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 29-July 5?No 91% 5.27 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No 90% 3.11 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 86% 9.3 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?No 85% 23.53 shares
- US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?No 90% 22.22 shares
- Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No 90.1% 8.88 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 2?No 86% 3.26 shares