Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.7%
- Current value
- $477.87
- Potential payout
- $4.47K
- Potential profit
- $3.99K
- Multiplier
- 9.35x
- User PnL
- -$93.79
Polymarket Trader
0x812b640447943b7BdC26c8cc7C3d85D011a214D0-1767485185247
0x812b640447943b7bdc26c8cc7c3d85d011a214d0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.04K
- Realized PnL
- $9.16K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $4.24K
- Potential payout
- $4.25K
- Potential profit
- $12.75
- User PnL
- $2.95K
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.3%
- Current value
- $1.17K
- Potential payout
- $1.46K
- Potential profit
- $286.81
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $169.07
No position
Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.7B?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.6%
- Current value
- $23.54
- Potential payout
- $245.22
- Potential profit
- $221.68
- Multiplier
- 10.42x
- User PnL
- $7.11
No position
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $131.44
- Potential payout
- $167.44
- Potential profit
- $36
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $1.44
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $4.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $15.3
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $1.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $831.48
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $777.5
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $560.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $559.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $451.16
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $419.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $338.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $336.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $325.22
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $311.42
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $262.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $244.03
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 19, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $242.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $239.81
Down position
XRP Up or Down - April 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $239.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $233.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.79
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.34
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 8.1% 4,619.97 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 18% 20 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 15.3% 270 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 14.6% 220 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 14.4% 30 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 10.3% 1,049.98 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 12.8% 405.65 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Yes 28.6% 3,244.18 shares
- Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.7B?No 6.7% 245.22 shares
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?No 77.6% 167.44 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 68.7% 1,455.88 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?Yes 51.2% 1,147.15 shares