No position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $727.37
- Potential profit
- $727.37
- User PnL
- -$25
Polymarket Trader
0x812bF1Bd9b5F90ECa1D49bdeDaed12912162A68B-1773591881358
0x812bf1bd9b5f90eca1d49bdedaed12912162a68b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $53.2
- Realized PnL
- $71.37
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $311.2
- Potential profit
- $311.2
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $53.2
- Potential payout
- $226.36
- Potential profit
- $173.17
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $30.3
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $154.13
- Potential profit
- $154.13
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75.56
- Potential profit
- $75.56
- User PnL
- -$20.6
Y
Yes position
Pittsburgh Pirates winning after 5 innings?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$4.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Up position
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.46
Y
Yes position
Will "Iran" or "Iranian" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.95
Nebraska Cornhuskers position
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
TCU Horned Frogs position
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
Yes position
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-03-22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
Over position
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks: O/U 164.5
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
Washington Nationals position
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
Clippers position
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Mason Jones position
UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19
Yannick Hanfmann position
Miami Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Luca Van Assche
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Oilers position
Sharks vs. Oilers
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Up position
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74
Up position
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
Up position
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
Up position
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- San Francisco Giants winning after 5 innings?Yes 99% 5 shares
- Cleveland Guardians winning after 5 innings?Yes 99% 5 shares
- Washington Nationals winning after 5 innings?Yes 99% 5 shares
- Pittsburgh Pirates winning after 5 innings?Yes 99% 0.95 shares
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: Tied after 5 innings?Yes 99% 5 shares
- Pittsburgh Pirates winning after 5 innings?Yes 99% 5 shares
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?No 11% 26.36 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?No 27% 55.56 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?No 28% 20 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?No 3.4% 583.66 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?No 3.5% 143.71 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?No 3.9% 50.68 shares