Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.3%
- Current value
- $182.25K
- Potential payout
- $900K
- Potential profit
- $717.75K
- Multiplier
- 4.94x
- User PnL
- -$267.75K
Polymarket Trader
ATaleOf2Outcomes
0x813bcab6cbc1a214ab0f7920574966e130090127
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $902.2K
- Realized PnL
- $256.61K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.8%
- Current value
- $717.75K
- Potential payout
- $900K
- Potential profit
- $182.25K
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $267.75K
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.81K
- Potential payout
- $1.81K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.81
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $9.23
- Potential payout
- $971.67
- Potential profit
- $962.44
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$955.8
Down position
NYA (NYA) Up or Down on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $228.6
- Potential payout
- $228.71
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- User PnL
- $4.79
Down position
Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $123.94
- Potential payout
- $124
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $0.19
Down position
Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $28.69
- Potential payout
- $28.69
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $255.24K
No position
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $473.02
Over position
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $400
Over position
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.45
N
No position
Will Jordan reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.05
Y
Yes position
Will Jordan finish last in Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.47
Over position
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
N
No position
Ghana leading at halftime?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.73
N
No position
Jordan vs. Algeria: Draw at halftime?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
No position
Jordan vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score in First Half
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.81
Over position
Jordan vs. Algeria: Jordan O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.04
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.92
N
No position
Will Algeria finish last in Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.32
Y
Yes position
Will Jordan be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Y
Yes position
Portugal to win the second half?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.82
N
No position
Uzbekistan to score first vs. Portugal?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.55
Under position
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 6.5
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.42
Over position
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.07
Over position
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.84
N
No position
Will Jordan finish second in Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.74
N
No position
Uzbekistan to win the second half?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.02
N
No position
Ghana to win the second half?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33
Under position
Jordan vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.18
N
No position
Will Jordan be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?No 94% 3,376.66 shares
- Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?No 94% 3,005.4 shares
- Ghana to win the second half?No 94.2% 40 shares
- Ghana leading at halftime?No 99% 50 shares
- Ghana leading at halftime?No 99% 2,845.88 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on June 23?Yes 94% 30 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on June 23?No 99% 100 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on June 23?No 99.4% 30 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on June 23?No 99.5% 671.59 shares
- Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on June 23?Down 96.1% 28.69 shares
- Will Apple (AAPL) close above $295 on June 23?No 99.5% 217 shares
- Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $235 on June 23?No 99% 115 shares