Polymarket Trader

0x81482C537eAffD5D3b882688a806a5C2BdA2613b-1755870200664

0x81482c537eaffd5d3b882688a806a5c2bda2613b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $18.89
Realized PnL: $29.35
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $18.89
Potential payout: $968.6
Potential profit: $949.71
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$77.97

No position

GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $442.92
Potential profit: $442.92
User PnL: -$26.58

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$10

No position

GPT-5.3 released by March 15, 2026?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-08?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.61
Potential profit: $26.61
User PnL: -$16.23

Yes position

Exact Score: FC Bayern München 4 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Michael Olise: Anytime Goalscorer

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Trump say "HAMAS" during Board of Peace events on February 19?

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Jared Kushner attend the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.55
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.25

No position

Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

Under position

RB Leipzig vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

Yes position

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: $1.43

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

US strikes Iraq by March 7?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.07

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

Yes 10% 828.2 shares
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

Yes 10% 140.4 shares
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?

Yes 61% 16.39 shares
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?

Yes 61% 10.21 shares
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 4 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC?

Yes 6% 16.67 shares
Michael Olise: Anytime Goalscorer

Yes 40% 12.5 shares
GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?

No 4.9% 231.02 shares
US strikes Iraq by March 7?

No 35% 32.35 shares
US strikes Iraq by March 7?

No 34.8% 32.35 shares
GPT-5.3 released by March 15, 2026?

No 14% 71.43 shares
GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?

No 7.1% 140.85 shares
GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?

No 7.4% 71.05 shares