Polymarket Trader

resfeber

0x814de45404c20dd9956737a83f7c8b0b039eb842

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $38.95K
Realized PnL: $71.46K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $3.27K
Potential payout: $26.28K
Potential profit: $23.01K
Multiplier: 8.03x
User PnL: $379.76

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 60.8%
Current value: $12.72K
Potential payout: $20.93K
Potential profit: $8.2K
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $2.26K

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $2.4K
Potential payout: $13.03K
Potential profit: $10.62K
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $304.13

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $2.39K
Potential payout: $12.92K
Potential profit: $10.53K
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $337.39

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $189.98
Potential payout: $11.51K
Potential profit: $11.32K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$146.74

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 24.1%
Current value: $2.45K
Potential payout: $10.2K
Potential profit: $7.75K
Multiplier: 4.16x
User PnL: -$1.07K

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $200.02
Potential payout: $8.89K
Potential profit: $8.69K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $31.07

Yes position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $72.25
Potential payout: $8.5K
Potential profit: $8.43K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$2.47K

Yes position

Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $4.02
Potential payout: $8.03K
Potential profit: $8.03K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$62.01

No position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $1.14K
Potential payout: $6.5K
Potential profit: $5.36K
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$178.03

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.6%
Current value: $1.12K
Potential payout: $5.74K
Potential profit: $4.61K
Multiplier: 5.10x
User PnL: -$109.7

Yes position

Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 85.8%
Current value: $4.31K
Potential payout: $5.02K
Potential profit: $712.9
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $3.02K

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $188.42
Potential payout: $4.77K
Potential profit: $4.58K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$23.99

Yes position

Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 3.6%
Current value: $144
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.86K
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: -$2.28

Yes position

Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $33.18
Potential payout: $3.02K
Potential profit: $2.98K
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$383.74

No position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $779.65
Potential payout: $2.74K
Potential profit: $1.96K
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $13.41

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $67.85
Potential payout: $2.71K
Potential profit: $2.65K
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: -$123.41

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $947.42
Potential payout: $2.56K
Potential profit: $1.61K
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: $218.21

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 84.7%
Current value: $1.95K
Potential payout: $2.31K
Potential profit: $354.12
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$4.85

No position

Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $1.7K
Potential payout: $2.09K
Potential profit: $397.67
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $274.79

Yes position

Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$198.64

No position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $1.15K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $850
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $250

Yes position

Will Türkiye finish last in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $720
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.28K
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: $440

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $992.33
Potential payout: $1.97K
Potential profit: $972.68
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $108.08

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.12K

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.32K

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.25K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.68K

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.63K

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.17K

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.12K

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.09K

No position

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: $2.45K

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.32K

Yes position

Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3K

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.87K

No position

Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78K

No position

Will Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68K

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.67K

Yes position

Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.66K

Yes position

Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.66K

Yes position

Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65K

No position

Will the Jaguars win the AFC Championship?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58K

No position

Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.53K

No position

Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.46K

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27K

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2K

Yes position

Will the Carolina Panthers win the NFC South?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Magomed Ankalaev be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Yes 2.1% 7.44 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

No 47% 29 shares
Will Alex Pereira be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Yes 5.2% 46.67 shares
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 13% 76 shares
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 13% 53.65 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.3% 123 shares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 20% 22.77 shares
Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 27% 10 shares
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?

No 89% 7 shares
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 81% 103.53 shares
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 13% 85.95 shares
Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

No 69% 159.01 shares