Yes position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $26.04
- Potential payout
- $7.44K
- Potential profit
- $7.41K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.13K
Polymarket Trader
KimJonEn
0x81525952f172646a4104030e9a9ef1e769c7bfda
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $28.71K
- Realized PnL
- $129.57K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $72.03
- Potential payout
- $6.86K
- Potential profit
- $6.79K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$1.46K
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $3.92K
- Potential payout
- $5.41K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $1.34K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $5.25K
- Potential payout
- $5.27K
- Potential profit
- $29.01
- User PnL
- $1.52K
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.65K
- Potential profit
- $4.65K
- User PnL
- -$1.49K
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $110.45
- Potential payout
- $4.51K
- Potential profit
- $4.4K
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$835.88
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $4.14K
- Potential payout
- $4.16K
- Potential profit
- $18.73
- User PnL
- $1.69K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $3.49K
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $8.75
- User PnL
- $922.26
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $196
- Potential payout
- $2.8K
- Potential profit
- $2.6K
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$938.91
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.25K
- Potential profit
- $2.25K
- User PnL
- -$59.6
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $900.46
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $1.32K
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$87.23
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $1.43K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $570
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $10
No position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $1.15K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $850
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $69
Yes position
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $722.08
- Potential payout
- $1.93K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$534.47
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.4K
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $199.92
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $694.29
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $1.55K
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $48.67
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $746.6
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$504.99
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $1.36K
- Potential payout
- $1.38K
- Potential profit
- $16.58
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $431.41
Yes position
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $252.19
- Potential payout
- $1.23K
- Potential profit
- $978
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$241.35
Yes position
Stripe IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $118.17
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$188.45
Yes position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $869.58
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $245.27
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $341.22
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $17.51
- Potential payout
- $1.09K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- Multiplier
- 62.50x
- User PnL
- -$339.12
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $735.01
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $265
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $75.01
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $993
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $7
- User PnL
- $47.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?
Ends Jan 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.06K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.38K
No position
Trump issues 100+ Executive Orders orders on Day 1?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.96K
Yes position
Will there be a US Government shutdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.77K
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.57K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.7K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.15K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.28K
No position
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.02K
Yes position
Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.97K
No position
Will Trump issue a Gold Card before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.77K
No position
Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.63K
Yes position
Will Kim Moon-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.62K
Yes position
Elon out of Trump administration before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.38K
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.37K
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.22K
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.67K
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.49K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.44K
Yes position
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.31K
No position
TikTok sale announced before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.29K
No position
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25K
No position
Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo 58% 500 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 71% 1,000 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 71% 1,000 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 11% 1,448.07 shares
- Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 0.4% 128.61 shares
- Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 0.3% 5,549.01 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?No 95.7% 500 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?No 72% 500 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?No 94% 500 shares
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No 78% 500 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 70% 399.03 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 46% 352.74 shares