Yes position
Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.1K
- Potential profit
- $10.1K
- User PnL
- -$946.39
Polymarket Trader
politickler
0x817997d188ab6a5bc85180d561b727401b044403
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $117.71
- Realized PnL
- $38.06K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.79K
- Potential profit
- $7.79K
- User PnL
- -$4.2K
Yes position
Will "Worst Ex Ever: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.46K
- Potential profit
- $2.46K
- User PnL
- -$309.99
Yes position
Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- User PnL
- -$216.75
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $899.73
- Potential profit
- $899.73
- User PnL
- -$320
Yes position
Will "Legends: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $769.08
- Potential profit
- $769.08
- User PnL
- -$132.58
Yes position
Will "Swapped" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $587.46
- Potential profit
- $587.46
- User PnL
- -$170.62
Yes position
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 32m and 35m?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $530.32
- Potential profit
- $530.32
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will "GOAT" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $465.27
- Potential profit
- $465.27
- User PnL
- -$58.83
No position
Will Trump post "POTUS" this week on Truth Social?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $305.22
- Potential profit
- $305.22
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Will "Swapped" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $304.94
- Potential profit
- $304.94
- User PnL
- -$102.22
Yes position
Will "Funny AF with Kevin Hart" be the top US Netflix show this week?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $303.4
- Potential profit
- $303.4
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $248.59
- Potential profit
- $248.59
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will "Swapped" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $212.76
- Potential profit
- $212.76
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $194.09
- Potential profit
- $194.09
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $145.33
- Potential profit
- $145.33
- User PnL
- -$67
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $135.77
- Potential profit
- $135.77
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $133.33
- Potential profit
- $133.33
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will "GOAT" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $129.85
- Potential profit
- $129.85
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $117.71
- Potential payout
- $119.02
- Potential profit
- $1.31
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $17.71
Yes position
Will "Man on Fire" be the top US Netflix show this week?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $112.91
- Potential profit
- $112.91
- User PnL
- -$70.01
Yes position
Will "Apex" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $112
- Potential profit
- $112
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will "Worst Ex Ever: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100.95
- Potential profit
- $100.95
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.2K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.34K
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.07K
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21K
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
Yes position
Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $728.7
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $672.99
Yes position
Will "Should I Marry A Murderer?" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $662.85
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $521.58
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $371.27
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $299.11
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280.92
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $259.32
No position
Will the number of Israel Rocket Alerts since Operation Lion's Roar be at least 20,000 by March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $255.64
Yes position
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $245.14
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $223.82
Yes position
US strikes Iraq by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $217.96
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $204.24
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.54
No position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.49
Yes position
Will "The Crash" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.16
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.46
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the top global Netflix movie this week?Yes 61% 16.39 shares
- Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the top global Netflix movie this week?Yes 57% 17.54 shares
- Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the top global Netflix movie this week?Yes 59% 16.95 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 75% 133.33 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 62% 1,276.24 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 41.9% 477.64 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 57% 963.33 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 84.1% 2,906.97 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 18% 384.61 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No 75.3% 909.09 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 3.6% 1,332.91 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 26% 384.62 shares