Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $383.88
- Potential profit
- $383.88
- User PnL
- -$200
Polymarket Trader
inkkmcxvd
0x81871829691013ebc2b158bd320d1e9196d83b8e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $903.43
- Realized PnL
- $1.04K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.6%
- Current value
- $204.04
- Potential payout
- $325.73
- Potential profit
- $121.69
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $204.04
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1)
Ends Oct 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $272.46
- Potential profit
- $272.46
- User PnL
- -$201.62
CTBC Flying Oyster position
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winner
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $230.95
- Potential profit
- $230.95
- User PnL
- -$95
Yes position
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?
Ends Aug 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $203.16
- Potential payout
- $203.16
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $203.16
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $182.19
- Potential payout
- $201.32
- Potential profit
- $19.13
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $29.19
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$150
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $2.34
- Potential payout
- $187.5
- Potential profit
- $185.16
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $2.34
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $168.64
- Potential payout
- $179.88
- Potential profit
- $11.24
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $10.34
Top Esports position
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Ends Oct 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $176.28
- Potential profit
- $176.28
- User PnL
- -$83
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $172.29
- Potential profit
- $172.29
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $153.85
- Potential profit
- $153.85
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $10.39
- Potential payout
- $147.65
- Potential profit
- $137.26
- Multiplier
- 14.20x
- User PnL
- $10.39
Hanwha Life Esports position
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner
Ends Oct 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $143.75
- Potential profit
- $143.75
- User PnL
- -$46
No position
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $136.73
- Potential profit
- $136.73
- User PnL
- -$67
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $127.78
- Potential profit
- $127.78
- User PnL
- -$23
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$8
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80.51
- Potential profit
- $80.51
- User PnL
- -$31.4
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $5.17
- Potential payout
- $79.49
- Potential profit
- $74.32
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $5.17
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $68.52
- Potential payout
- $68.97
- Potential profit
- $0.45
- User PnL
- $68.52
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $58.98
- Potential payout
- $68.18
- Potential profit
- $9.2
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $28.98
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.79
- Potential profit
- $65.79
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 9AM ET
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.78
- Potential profit
- $60.78
- User PnL
- -$31
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $60 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.57
- Potential profit
- $53.57
- User PnL
- -$4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
KT Rolster position
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.6
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.86
Yes position
Yoon arrested by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110
No position
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.17
CTBC Flying Oyster position
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner
Ends Oct 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.96
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.74
Down position
Solana Up or Down - October 14, 9PM ET
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.25
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.53
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.7
No position
Will Solana reach $100 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 12?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.47
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 13?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.19
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.93
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.97
Yes position
Will Ricardo Nunes win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?
Ends Oct 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.23
Newcastle position
Carabao Cup: Arsenal vs. Newcastle (To Advance)
Ends Feb 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
Yes position
Will Jimmy Butler get traded?
Ends Feb 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14
No position
Will Solana reach $150 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will Solana reach $160 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Joe Burrow win NFL Comeback Player of the Year?
Ends Feb 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will another NBA All Star get traded before the deadline?
Ends Feb 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will Jayden Daniels win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?
Ends Feb 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?Yes 15% 40 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 76% 65.79 shares
- Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 61.4% 325.73 shares
- Will Iran Play in the World Cup?Yes 98.4% 203.16 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 14.9% 147.65 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No 95.7% 68.97 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No 8% 187.5 shares
- Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?No 13% 153.85 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 90% 3.33 shares
- Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Anthropic 85.8% 46.65 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.3% 32.15 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 39% 79.49 shares