Polymarket Trader

10KWarrior

0x818816a0ef909fddd129a022d27b1e2979380667

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.49K
Realized PnL: $18.32K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $245
Potential payout: $70K
Potential profit: $69.75K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$43.75

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $45
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $29.96K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$214.98

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $55
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.95K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$35

No position

Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?

Ends Oct 21, 2026

Implied probability: 93.9%
Current value: $4.11K
Potential payout: $4.38K
Potential profit: $267.11
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$7.14

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $85.1
Potential payout: $4.36K
Potential profit: $4.28K
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$22.65

Yes position

Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $61.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.94K
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$28.5

Yes position

Will Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$79.5

Yes position

Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 22.3%
Current value: $669
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.33K
Multiplier: 4.48x
User PnL: $444

Yes position

Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $6
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.99K
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$66

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $304.44
Potential payout: $2.43K
Potential profit: $2.12K
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: -$2.23

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $395
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.61K
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $27

Yes position

Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $618.61
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $526.96
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: $83.74

Yes position

Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $37.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $962.5
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$462.5

Yes position

Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $68.21
Potential payout: $718
Potential profit: $649.79
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $6.17

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $339.45
Potential payout: $634.48
Potential profit: $295.03
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$48.93

Yes position

Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $6.8
Potential payout: $591.07
Potential profit: $584.28
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $2.07

Yes position

Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.98
Potential payout: $439.58
Potential profit: $437.6
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$217.81

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $178.16
Potential payout: $267.91
Potential profit: $89.75
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$40.53

Yes position

Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $80.72
Potential payout: $237.42
Potential profit: $156.7
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: $56.98

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $79
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $121
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$11

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $99.95
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $98.75

Yes position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $1.63
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $3.38
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $0.91

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.03K

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.67K

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.53K

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Multiplier: 46.51x
User PnL: $864.68

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $839.56

Yes position

Khamenei seen in public by February 28?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $839.52

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. Spurs

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $601.91

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $544.45

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Magic

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $500

HARD GRIND position

Mobile Legends Bang Bang: HARD GRIND vs The World (BO3) - BetBoom Rise of Legends 2nd Division

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $497.25

Down position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $496

76ers position

76ers vs. Celtics

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $495

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $487

Under position

Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $465.07

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. Lakers

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $427

No position

Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $420

Sean Strickland position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $399.37

Magic position

Pistons vs. Magic

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $377

Hawks position

Hawks vs. Knicks

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $359.96

Cavaliers position

Raptors vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $345

Charles Oliveira position

UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $317.99

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $311.6

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $261.54

Siena Saints position

Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $245.24

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 5% 1,000 shares
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?

No 95.3% 3,319.37 shares
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 2.9% 500 shares
Games Total: O/U 2.5

Over 0.1% 150 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?

Yes 3% 2,047.55 shares
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BetBoom Team (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)

FUT Esports 0.1% 10 shares
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

Over 0.1% 10 shares
Knicks vs. Spurs

Spurs 11% 100 shares
Knicks vs. Spurs

Spurs 11% 978.93 shares
Knicks vs. Spurs

Spurs 65% 255.38 shares
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?

Yes 4.7% 139.99 shares
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?

Yes 4.7% 110 shares