Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $207.21K
- Potential profit
- $207.21K
- User PnL
- -$255.28
Polymarket Trader
Labor1
0x819342de5d2775a510f253ac7fd233f8f3ba3581
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $477.24
- Realized PnL
- $2.03K
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $202.36K
- Potential profit
- $202.36K
- User PnL
- -$784.13
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $112.34K
- Potential profit
- $112.34K
- User PnL
- -$398.69
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $95.13K
- Potential profit
- $95.13K
- User PnL
- -$1.2K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.92K
- Potential profit
- $54.92K
- User PnL
- -$109.84
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $271.46
- Potential payout
- $49.36K
- Potential profit
- $49.09K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$128.48
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.42K
- Potential profit
- $40.42K
- User PnL
- -$40.42
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.33K
- Potential profit
- $37.33K
- User PnL
- -$149.31
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.51K
- Potential profit
- $34.51K
- User PnL
- -$248.83
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.9K
- Potential profit
- $28.9K
- User PnL
- -$48.9
Yes position
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.7K
- Potential profit
- $27.7K
- User PnL
- -$499.99
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27K
- Potential profit
- $27K
- User PnL
- -$54
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $205.78
- Potential payout
- $19.6K
- Potential profit
- $19.39K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$333.57
Yes position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.84K
- Potential profit
- $14.84K
- User PnL
- -$262.46
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.23K
- Potential profit
- $11.23K
- User PnL
- -$89.15
No position
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.6K
- Potential profit
- $10.6K
- User PnL
- -$65.05
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 February 23-March 1?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.19K
- Potential profit
- $4.19K
- User PnL
- -$53.69
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.01K
- Potential profit
- $4.01K
- User PnL
- -$87.14
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.27K
- Potential profit
- $2.27K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.38K
- Potential profit
- $1.38K
- User PnL
- -$82.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $967.3
- Potential profit
- $967.3
- User PnL
- -$29.99
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $964.28
- Potential profit
- $964.28
- User PnL
- -$49.43
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $709.88
- Potential profit
- $709.88
- User PnL
- -$49.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $599.99
- Potential profit
- $599.99
- User PnL
- -$6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $794.1
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $616.1
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $455.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.94
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.23
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.83
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.27
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 1.8% 14,843.26 shares
- No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 1.8% 27,700.29 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 3.3% 8,414.96 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.8% 12,131.69 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 1.9% 4,269.65 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.8% 12,500 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.1% 99,000 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.3% 33,333.33 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.5% 8,118 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 2.6% 6,913.2 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.8% 24,725.47 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.6% 14,225 shares