Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
Charlie.Garcia
0x819fabc2547ad67a0c28480951c537d79dc71931
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $63.6
- Realized PnL
- $1.16K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $226.67
- Potential profit
- $226.67
- User PnL
- -$14.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $181.82
- Potential profit
- $181.82
- User PnL
- -$100
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $175.44
- Potential profit
- $175.44
- User PnL
- -$100
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $172.41
- Potential profit
- $172.41
- User PnL
- -$100
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.71
- Potential profit
- $142.71
- User PnL
- -$9.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $137.74
- Potential profit
- $137.74
- User PnL
- -$49.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $131.83
- Potential profit
- $131.83
- User PnL
- -$9.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$50
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $118.67
- Potential profit
- $118.67
- User PnL
- -$17.8
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $86.27
- Potential profit
- $86.27
- User PnL
- -$19.84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $81.97
- Potential profit
- $81.97
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$57.6
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $63.6
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $16.4
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $7.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.21
- Potential profit
- $76.21
- User PnL
- -$19.81
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.17
- Potential profit
- $74.17
- User PnL
- -$19.81
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $70
- User PnL
- -$27.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68.23
- Potential profit
- $68.23
- User PnL
- -$19.79
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.83
- Potential profit
- $63.83
- User PnL
- -$30
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.78
- Potential profit
- $63.78
- User PnL
- -$19.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.78
- Potential profit
- $63.78
- User PnL
- -$19.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.43
- Potential profit
- $63.43
- User PnL
- -$44.51
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.43
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $41.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.2
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.39
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.01
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.38
No position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.92
Yes position
Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.4
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 99.9% 40 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETDown 14% 35.71 shares
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?Yes 92% 21.74 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 4?Yes 61% 30 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 21.8% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETDown 68% 14.71 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETDown 61% 16.39 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETUp 12% 83.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETUp 18% 55.56 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETDown 60% 16.67 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETDown 72% 13.89 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ETDown 47% 21.28 shares