Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $5.36
- Potential payout
- $9.16
- Potential profit
- $3.8
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Polymarket Trader
0x81ae...0532
0x81aeaf4f0a70e5d06c84abf5086a6377e9850532
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $41.49
- Realized PnL
- $64.74
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $5.36
- Potential payout
- $9.16
- Potential profit
- $3.8
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $4.59
- Potential payout
- $8.13
- Potential profit
- $3.54
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $3.48
- Potential payout
- $6.82
- Potential profit
- $3.34
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $4.25
- Potential payout
- $5.35
- Potential profit
- $1.1
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $1.31
Yes position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $2.78
- Potential payout
- $4.84
- Potential profit
- $2.06
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $2.32
- Potential payout
- $4.07
- Potential profit
- $1.75
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $1.78
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $2.22
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $3.14
- Potential payout
- $3.9
- Potential profit
- $0.76
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $3.02
- Potential payout
- $3.8
- Potential profit
- $0.78
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will France win on 2026-07-14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.4%
- Current value
- $2.02
- Potential payout
- $3.41
- Potential profit
- $1.38
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.2%
- Current value
- $1.54
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $1.46
- Multiplier
- 1.95x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.1%
- Current value
- $1.86
- Potential payout
- $2.77
- Potential profit
- $0.91
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Under position
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.09
Over position
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 4.5
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.7
Ghana position
Spread: England (-1.5)
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.89
Over position
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.47
Under position
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
Yes position
Will Warsh say "Trend" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.77
Under position
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
Under position
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
No position
Will Warsh say "Downside" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.87
No position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
No position
Will England win on 2026-07-11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54
No position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Under position
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
Under position
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
Under position
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
No position
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Over position
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?No 67.5% 2.77 shares
- Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?Yes 49% 3 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-14?No 59% 3.41 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?No 55% 5.35 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?Yes 62% 4.06 shares
- Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No 79% 3.8 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?No 42.2% 3.05 shares
- Will England win on 2026-07-11?No 48% 3.04 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes 62% 4.84 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Yes 60% 3.02 shares
- Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of July 6 2026?No 59% 5.14 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-09?No 39% 3 shares