No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $174.83
- Potential payout
- $175
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- User PnL
- $14
Polymarket Trader
logan54
0x81b01d183076323d2912674428ad850d74f55b7c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $214.6
- Realized PnL
- $204.22
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44
- Potential profit
- $44
- User PnL
- -$1.67
No position
No one announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.1%
- Current value
- $2.98
- Potential payout
- $37
- Potential profit
- $34.02
- Multiplier
- 12.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $36.8
- Potential payout
- $37
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- User PnL
- $3.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.2
Yes position
Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.44
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.09
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.96
No position
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.98
No position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.18
Yes position
Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.94
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.87
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69
No position
Military action against Iran ends on March 29, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- No one announced as next James Bond?No 8.2% 37 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 3?No 95.9% 102 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Yes 5.8% 100 shares
- Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No 3.8% 44 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?Yes 1% 4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on May 23?No 97.8% 7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on May 23?No 97.7% 76.86 shares
- Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?Yes 6.4% 40 shares
- Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes 5.2% 31 shares
- Will Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?Yes 98.7% 40 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 14?No 96.7% 26 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?Yes 5.3% 171 shares