No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$2
Polymarket Trader
Bronkoloss
0x81b28b1085a8a73f60d0adc67418dd4c7a0b2e06
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $43.01
- Realized PnL
- -$41.02
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $760b and $780b on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $211.67
- Potential profit
- $211.56
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.89
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $3.21
- Potential payout
- $206.9
- Potential profit
- $203.69
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$2.79
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700b and $720b on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.41
- Potential payout
- $205.07
- Potential profit
- $204.66
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $720b and $740b on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.4
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.6
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.5
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $740b and $760b on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.52
- Potential payout
- $172.28
- Potential profit
- $171.76
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $780b and $800b on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.37
- Potential payout
- $123.39
- Potential profit
- $123.02
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Yes position
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $12.14
- Potential payout
- $93.37
- Potential profit
- $81.23
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- $2.14
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $6.14
- Potential payout
- $87.26
- Potential profit
- $81.12
- Multiplier
- 14.20x
- User PnL
- -$3.86
Yes position
Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $32.35
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- -$4.02
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.4%
- Current value
- $10.83
- Potential payout
- $26.8
- Potential profit
- $15.97
- Multiplier
- 2.48x
- User PnL
- $8.83
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $1.45
- Potential payout
- $26.32
- Potential profit
- $24.87
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$3.55
No position
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $4.88
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $20.13
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $2.88
Yes position
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.2%
- Current value
- $1.08
- Potential payout
- $7.6
- Potential profit
- $6.52
- Multiplier
- 7.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.92
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.78
Up position
Solana Up or Down - February 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Down position
XRP Up or Down - February 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will GenG qualify to MSI 2026?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Up position
XRP Up or Down - February 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.2
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.8
Up position
XRP Up or Down - February 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
XRP Up or Down - February 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Solana Up or Down - February 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
XRP Up or Down - February 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Solana Up or Down - February 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Solana Up or Down - February 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Solana Up or Down - February 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.1% 1,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 500 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 18% 27.78 shares
- Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?Yes 26.3% 7.6 shares
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?No 8% 25 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?Yes 0.4% 250 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?Yes 11.5% 87.26 shares
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700b and $720b on June 30?Yes 0.5% 205.07 shares
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $740b and $760b on June 30?Yes 0.6% 172.28 shares
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $720b and $740b on June 30?Yes 0.5% 200 shares
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $760b and $780b on June 30?Yes 0.5% 211.67 shares
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $780b and $800b on June 30?Yes 0.8% 123.39 shares