Polymarket Trader

ZacharyMartin1991

0x81ba866d1e0d6f92121b858b7d3fd4be634db311

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $412.61
Realized PnL: $876.66
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $668
Potential profit: $668
User PnL: -$407.48

Yes position

Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $173.13
Potential payout: $597
Potential profit: $423.87
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: -$268.65

Yes position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $232.75
Potential payout: $490
Potential profit: $257.25
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $7.35

Yes position

Will Blue Prince win Most Innovative Gameplay in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $483
Potential profit: $483
User PnL: -$68.1

Yes position

Will Senor Tilt be the biggest loser in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142
Potential profit: $142
User PnL: -$11.36

Yes position

SBF released from custody in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89
Potential profit: $89
User PnL: -$1.16

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election be between 38% and 40%?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68
Potential profit: $68
User PnL: -$2.18

Yes position

Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $5.85
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $59.15
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$27.3

Yes position

Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.86
Potential payout: $63.45
Potential profit: $62.59
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$32.77

Yes position

Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62
Potential profit: $62
User PnL: -$1.43

Yes position

Israel strike on Yemen by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62
Potential profit: $62
User PnL: -$1.12

Yes position

Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48
Potential profit: $48
User PnL: -$12.48

Yes position

Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39
Potential profit: $39
User PnL: -$9.28

Yes position

Will Trump say "Equipment" or "Military" at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34
Potential profit: $34
User PnL: -$9.18

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28
Potential profit: $28
User PnL: -$3.64

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.35
Potential profit: $19.35
User PnL: -$1.55

Yes position

Will Cătălin Drulă get between 5% and 10% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?-fkEW

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$2.1

No position

Will Cutting Through Rocks be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$13.65

Yes position

Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $13
User PnL: -$9.59

Yes position

Will "Jujutsu Kaisen: Execution" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 13m?

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.18
Potential profit: $5.18
User PnL: -$1.77

Yes position

Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $4.01
Potential profit: $4
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$2.44

Yes position

Will Squid Game be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $2
User PnL: -$1.06

Yes position

Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $1.99
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$0.43

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.44

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on November 21 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.07

No position

Will $DJT's market cap be between 4b and 4.25b

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.72

No position

Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.02

Yes position

Will January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.25

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on November 21?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.24

Yes position

Will the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.57

Yes position

Will Trump say "IQ" during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.71

Yes position

Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $26.52

No position

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

Ends Jan 3, 2027

Implied probability: 56.5%
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $26.04

Yes position

Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 20.5%
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $22.95

Yes position

Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.55

Yes position

Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.07

Yes position

Will Naz Reid win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.01

Yes position

Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.88

Yes position

Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.14

No position

Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.48

No position

Will NFT #1946 win the Based trading competition?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.43

No position

Will Josh Safdie be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.97

Yes position

Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.6

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.18

Yes position

Will the RSF capture Kadugli by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.07

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 5?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.95

Yes position

Will Doug Jones win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Hyperbeat FDV above $100M one day after launch?

No 83.3% 7 shares
Ramp IPO before 2027?

No 78% 41 shares
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?

No 87% 22 shares
Will the US strike Somalia next?

No 61% 668 shares
Will "Sinners" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?

No 16% 86 shares
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?

No 67% 446 shares
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?

No 67% 446 shares
Will "Sinners" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?

No 14% 237 shares
Will "Sinners" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?

No 14% 147 shares
Will "Sinners" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?

No 16% 470 shares
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?

No 23% 381 shares
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

No 66% 424 shares