Polymarket Trader

elviktor

0x81c0d7a80a1b64d630f07ad007a34eeb6f723fa5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $189.67
Realized PnL: -$50.99
Win rate: 47.6%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 21
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $27.47
Potential payout: $499.38
Potential profit: $471.91
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$132.75

Yes position

Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $73.95
Potential payout: $435
Potential profit: $361.05
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$44.28

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $198.7
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.9%
Current value: $12.25
Potential payout: $155
Potential profit: $142.76
Multiplier: 12.66x
User PnL: -$7.75

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 17.6%
Current value: $26.4
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $123.6
Multiplier: 5.68x
User PnL: -$13.6

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $11.13
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $128.87
Multiplier: 12.58x
User PnL: -$8.31

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $3.13
Potential payout: $133
Potential profit: $129.87
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $1.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.35
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $45
User PnL: -$4.95

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $22.05
Potential payout: $42
Potential profit: $19.95
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $2.31

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $1.58
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $38.42
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $8.78
Potential payout: $39
Potential profit: $30.23
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$4.1

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$2.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.3

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.8

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $18.29

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.25

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.99

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.47

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.5

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.22

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.89

Yes position

Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.09

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.26

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$17.3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$17.67

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$18.6

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$35.79

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50.1

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$54

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 16.7% 60 shares
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Yes 0.3% 5 shares
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 2.9% 8 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 48% 2.08 shares
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Yes 22% 5 shares
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 14% 8 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 33% 39 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 75.9% 100 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 23.9% 63 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 11% 90 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 64.5% 96.99 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5% 40 shares