Polymarket Trader

jan4

0x81d85262d3d6ef209e12fe9dff89074e5010dc88

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $122.2
Realized PnL: $356.77
Win rate: 76.9%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56K
Potential profit: $5.56K
User PnL: -$49.99

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.2%
Current value: $111.97
Potential payout: $529.41
Potential profit: $417.44
Multiplier: 4.73x
User PnL: $21.97

Bosnia and Herzegovina position

United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $356.42
Potential profit: $356.42
User PnL: -$67.72

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $264.06
Potential profit: $264.06
User PnL: -$169

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $238.1
Potential profit: $238.1
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Draw at halftime?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $137.88
Potential profit: $137.88
User PnL: -$91.53

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.17
Potential profit: $52.17
User PnL: -$12

Australia position

Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.39
Potential profit: $24.39
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will "Gus" - A Mounted Tyrannosaurus Rex Skeleton sell for at least $45m at auction?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $10.23
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $12.5
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: $5.23

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.61
Potential profit: $19.61
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Switzerland position

Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.06

Spain position

Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.08

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.33

Yes position

Portugal vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.25

Brazil position

Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.85

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.65

Yes position

Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.27

Yes position

Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.65

Spain position

Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.66

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.38

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$17.14

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will "Gus" - A Mounted Tyrannosaurus Rex Skeleton sell for at least $45m at auction?

Yes 22% 22.73 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 23% 52.17 shares
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance

Switzerland 39% 247.64 shares
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Yes 64% 264.06 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Yes 40% 4.83 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Yes 66% 25.48 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Yes 99% 30.3 shares
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance

Spain 98.2% 153.84 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Yes 60% 73.52 shares
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score

Yes 33% 89.74 shares
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score

Yes 39% 89.74 shares
Portugal vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?

Yes 99.9% 93 shares