Yes position
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $1.13K
- Potential payout
- $1.56K
- Potential profit
- $437.77
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $5.02
Polymarket Trader
0x81e7a2ab8E6268009643Da1CAb2368adb0457389-1774921607278
0x81e7a2ab8e6268009643da1cab2368adb0457389
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.44K
- Realized PnL
- $641.52
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $335.33
- Potential payout
- $1.49K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $9.33
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $467.65
- Potential profit
- $467.65
- User PnL
- -$0.47
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $345.62
- Potential profit
- $345.62
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Databricks position
Databricks vs Salesforce - higher valuation on June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $207.47
- Potential payout
- $329.32
- Potential profit
- $121.85
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $41.42
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $273.05
- Potential profit
- $273.05
- User PnL
- -$0.27
No position
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $135B by June 30?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $211.12
- Potential payout
- $214
- Potential profit
- $2.89
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $4.68
No position
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $202.83
- Potential payout
- $209.54
- Potential profit
- $6.71
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $14.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $204.22
- Potential profit
- $204.22
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C or higher on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $162.84
- Potential profit
- $162.84
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 73°F or below on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $158.01
- Potential profit
- $158.01
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO on June 30, 2026 or later?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 90°F or higher on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $129.69
- Potential profit
- $129.69
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $59.56
- Potential payout
- $129.47
- Potential profit
- $69.91
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- $18.41
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $63.94
- Potential payout
- $129.17
- Potential profit
- $65.23
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$4.52
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $128.9
- Potential profit
- $128.9
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 59%
- Current value
- $74.83
- Potential payout
- $126.83
- Potential profit
- $52
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or below on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $121
- Potential profit
- $121
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $60.9
- Potential payout
- $116
- Potential profit
- $55.1
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $43.5
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $109.99
- Potential profit
- $109.99
- User PnL
- -$0.42
No position
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $99.9
- Potential payout
- $108
- Potential profit
- $8.1
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $3.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $105.17
- Potential profit
- $105.17
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $103.73
- Potential profit
- $103.73
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Cerebras' market cap be less than $50B at market close on IPO day?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $221.47
No position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $60.18
Yes position
Will Encore Medical not IPO before June 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.33
Yes position
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in June?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- $26.59
Infamous position
Worst Cup: Fakers FC vs. Infamous FC
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.5
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.9
Yes position
Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $9B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 56%
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- $21
Yes position
JD Vance out as VP by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $21
Yes position
Will Encore Medical’s market cap be between $45M and $50M at market close on IPO day?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.53
Yes position
JD Vance out as VP by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $19.36
Yes position
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.8%
- Multiplier
- 10.20x
- User PnL
- $19.19
Yes position
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 and 42.9 in June?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- $19.04
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.8
No position
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $37.5B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $14.13
Yes position
Will Cisco's Networking revenue be above $7.5B in Q3?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.03
Yes position
Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Multiplier
- 18.52x
- User PnL
- $12.05
Yes position
Will Barclays or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 4, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.98
No position
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.96
Yes position
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- $9.89
Yes position
Will Fervo Energy not IPO before July 2026?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.4
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.33
No position
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- $8.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?No 60.7% 40 shares
- Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 67.4% 73.78 shares
- Will OpenAI have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?Yes 98.1% 50 shares
- Anthropic IPO before 2027?No 24% 378.05 shares
- Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 67% 128.32 shares
- Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 68% 49.99 shares
- Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by June 30?No 93.8% 26.26 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?No 94% 15.04 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 17.9% 21 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No 90% 21 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?No 93% 21 shares
- Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by June 30?No 90.1% 209.54 shares