Polymarket Trader

0x81f1F98e318845Bf09F9C79c036824C4bDB8B1CC-1767523246507

@dotkwk

0x81f1f98e318845bf09f9c79c036824c4bdb8b1cc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $10.37
Realized PnL: $79.39
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 25.9%
Current value: $8.92
Potential payout: $34.44
Potential profit: $25.52
Multiplier: 3.86x
User PnL: -$11.74

No position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.71
Potential profit: $14.71
User PnL: -$5

Team Liquid position

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $11.76
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $1.45
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.55
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $0.05

LGD Gaming position

Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1

PARIVISION position

Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $5.26
User PnL: -$1

Daxak Club position

Dota 2: Daxak Club vs VooDooSh Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group B

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.35

Team Liquid position

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.92
Potential profit: $4.92
User PnL: -$3

Team Falcons position

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $4.76
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.89

BetBoom Team position

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.75

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.69

Team Falcons position

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.07

PARIVISION position

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Team Yandex position

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Team Liquid win PGL Wallachia Season 7?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.8

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on February 7?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.74

Yes position

Will Team Spirit win PGL Wallachia Season 7?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.7

WW Team position

Counter-Strike: WW Team vs kONO.ECF - Map 2 Winner

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35

PARIVISION position

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.05

WW Team position

Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Lazer Cats - Map 1 Winner

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 9?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.84

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 February 2-8?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 8?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

WHITEBIRD position

Counter-Strike: magic vs WHITEBIRD (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Playoffs

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 6?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will Team Yandex win PGL Wallachia Season 7?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 February 2-8?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

PARIVISION position

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 6?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 5?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

No 34% 14.71 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 0.7% 142.86 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 80.5% 15 shares
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Team Falcons 21% 4.76 shares
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

PARIVISION 55% 5.45 shares
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Team Liquid 51% 11.76 shares
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

PARIVISION 48% 6.25 shares
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Team Liquid 61% 4.92 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Up 19% 5.26 shares
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

LGD Gaming 13% 7.69 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 44% 15 shares
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

BetBoom Team 63% 6.31 shares