Polymarket Trader

bonvc

0x81fa392c7cb18aa7acedc567a388d55be5a78a47

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.02
Realized PnL: $4.09
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $3.08
Potential profit: $1.72
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.67
Potential payout: $1.67
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.67

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Poland win on 2025-11-17?

Ends Nov 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.53

Yes position

Will NIKE (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

Karmine Corp position

LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "Reserve" during Crypto Summit on Friday?

Ends Mar 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Elon tweet less than 100 times May 23–30?

Ends May 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Alex de Minaur win Wimbledon 2025?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Susan Crawford win by 10% or more?

Ends Apr 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Elon tweet less than 250 times April 4 - 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will "Lilo & Stitch" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 80?

Ends Jun 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Yes 65% 3.08 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on May 11?

Yes 99.9% 2 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Spirit 60% 1.67 shares
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C or higher on April 21?

No 99.8% 1 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 21?

No 99% 1.01 shares
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs eLITenergy (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series 1 Playoffs

eLITenergy 99.9% 1 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on April 21?

No 99.8% 1 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on April 21?

No 99.7% 1 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on April 21?

No 94% 1.06 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on April 21?

Yes 97% 1.03 shares
LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Karmine Corp 93% 5.37 shares
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2

Bilibili Gaming 95% 5.26 shares