Polymarket Trader

Ohcrap

0x8212525bb2d892eb760f4f188870f923de3d5933

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $275.8
Realized PnL: $29.29K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Janet Mills be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?

Ends Jul 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $7.06
Potential payout: $941.57
Potential profit: $934.51
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$22.94

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $49.58
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $783.75
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?

Ends Apr 23, 2027

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $14.56
Potential payout: $502.01
Potential profit: $487.45
Multiplier: 34.48x
User PnL: -$10.44

No position

Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 17, 2027

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $52.08
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $364.58
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $2.08

Yes position

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $103.11
Potential payout: $224.16
Potential profit: $121.04
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $3.11

Yes position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $46.74
Potential payout: $217.39
Potential profit: $170.65
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$3.26

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $2.66
Potential payout: $129.88
Potential profit: $127.21
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$9.42

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.83K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.77K

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.53K

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.17K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $884.18

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 February 2-8?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $877.18

Yes position

Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $795.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $754.85

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 January 26-1?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $547.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $539.98

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 7?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $538.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $530

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $530

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $529.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $529.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $529.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $519.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $519.93

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 January 26-1?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $485.59

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?

Yes 23% 217.39 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6% 833.33 shares
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

Yes 44.6% 224.16 shares
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

No 12% 416.67 shares
Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?

Yes 5% 502.01 shares
Will Janet Mills be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?

Yes 3.2% 941.57 shares
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026?

No 20.5% 48.85 shares
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by June 30 2026?

No 5% 996.52 shares
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 6.4% 224.15 shares
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 6.6% 93.15 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?

No 99.6% 288.84 shares
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 6.3% 91.5 shares