Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $418.51
- Potential payout
- $4.92K
- Potential profit
- $4.51K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$111.5
Polymarket Trader
MoneyMachineLupLup
0x8215ec6d93e1eee909d1167a5f5f73ed20b2039f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $465.71
- Realized PnL
- $1.2K
- Win rate
- 45.5%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $47.2
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.55K
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- -$48.8
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $759.37
- Potential profit
- $759.37
- User PnL
- -$448.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $800.59
No position
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $614.92
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.56
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $50.8
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$72.2
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$78.02
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$95.99
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$96.37
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 10.8% 4,923.56 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No 59% 759.37 shares
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?Yes 6% 792.82 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?Yes 8% 380 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 42% 799.95 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Yes 46% 169.61 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?Yes 27% 20 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 19% 200 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes 19% 400 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 44% 200 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes 23% 400 shares
- Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 31% 634.99 shares