No position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $301.9
- Potential payout
- $321.17
- Potential profit
- $19.27
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $47.44
Polymarket Trader
20to1k
0x82178ad548a5fd769583a1c361b34b966ae139b1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $442.46
- Realized PnL
- $4.69K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $266.18
- Potential profit
- $266.18
- User PnL
- -$152.62
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $169.84
- Potential profit
- $169.84
- User PnL
- -$39.48
Yes position
Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $167.5
- Potential profit
- $167.5
- User PnL
- -$14.52
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $31.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $68.5
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $22.22
- Potential payout
- $68.36
- Potential profit
- $46.14
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- $6.49
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 14, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.45
- Potential profit
- $53.45
- User PnL
- -$2.67
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.3%
- Current value
- $41.08
- Potential payout
- $45.02
- Potential profit
- $3.94
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $14.9
No position
Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $18.17
- Potential payout
- $27.12
- Potential profit
- $8.95
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- -$1.01
No position
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $11.32
- Potential payout
- $19.69
- Potential profit
- $8.37
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $2.46
No position
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54%
- Current value
- $8.93
- Potential payout
- $16.53
- Potential profit
- $7.6
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- -$2.64
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $7.05
- Potential payout
- $10.68
- Potential profit
- $3.63
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Will Trump's approval rating hit 44% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $3.03
- Potential profit
- $2.73
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $798.95
Yes position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $423.38
Yes position
Will Trump say "Job" 5+ times during Medal of Honor ceremony on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $379.14
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $339.35
No position
Will Trump say "Please" or "Thank" 20+ times during Board of Peace events on February 19?
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $249
Yes position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $232.5
Yes position
Will Trump say "Midterm" or "Primary" during EPA announcement?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.02
Yes position
Will Trump say "Ass" or "Shit" this week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.23
Yes position
Will "Black to the Future" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.68
Yes position
Will Trump say "God" 5+ times during Coast Guard event?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.19
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio say "China" or "Xi" during press briefing today?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.27
Yes position
Will Trump say "Cheat" or "Cheater" or "Cheated" or "Cheating" 10+ times at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.96
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133
Yes position
Will Leavitt say "President" 66+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.13
No position
Will Trump shake hands with Volodymyr Zelenskyy at the World Economic Forum?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $109.57
Yes position
Will Leavitt say "President" 66+ times during the next White House press briefing?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.38
Yes position
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.17
Yes position
Will the US strike Syria next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $99.63
No position
Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $98.81
No position
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $97.8
No position
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.77
Yes position
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 40 and 50 million views on day 1?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.05
Yes position
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times in Corpus Christi on Friday?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.02
Yes position
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during Kentucky visit?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.47
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Strait" during Medal of Honor ceremony on June 18?No 80% 200 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 58.1% 45.02 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No 14.5% 100 shares
- Will "Oil" be in the headlines this week?Yes 78.3% 100 shares
- Will "Oil" be in the headlines this week?Yes 79% 100 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 84.3% 41 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes 96% 697 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?Yes 94.8% 74.37 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes 80% 100 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No 17% 140 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Yes 30% 160 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No 73% 40.26 shares