Yes position
Will Dante Gebel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
Ends Oct 24, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $5.88
- Potential payout
- $534.27
- Potential profit
- $528.39
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$12.28
Polymarket Trader
0x8217B629DFa8661c14e80a0D5558599E9B2Cc7c1-1773033302867
0x8217b629dfa8661c14e80a0d5558599e9b2cc7c1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $46.85
- Realized PnL
- $157.24
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $17.17
- Potential payout
- $83.73
- Potential profit
- $66.57
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Yes position
Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?
Ends Dec 31, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.7%
- Current value
- $4.63
- Potential payout
- $47.76
- Potential profit
- $43.13
- Multiplier
- 10.31x
- User PnL
- -$1.38
Yes position
Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $1.75
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $23.25
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $1.22
- Potential payout
- $22.19
- Potential profit
- $20.97
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Jaunā Vienotība (JV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?
Ends Oct 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $3.15
- Potential payout
- $16.15
- Potential profit
- $13
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.79
Yes position
Will Charles McCall win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $11.7
- Potential profit
- $11.68
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.15
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $1.22
- Potential payout
- $7.85
- Potential profit
- $6.63
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.46
- Potential profit
- $7.46
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will Juntos por el Perú (JP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $7.14
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $6.11
- Potential profit
- $5.16
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will Perena launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 10.6%
- Current value
- $0.62
- Potential payout
- $5.82
- Potential profit
- $5.2
- Multiplier
- 9.43x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Yes position
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.77
- Potential profit
- $5.77
- User PnL
- -$0.23
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.25
- Potential profit
- $5.25
- User PnL
- -$0.74
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $0.17
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.83
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $1.26
- Potential payout
- $4.96
- Potential profit
- $3.7
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $0.17
- Potential payout
- $4.58
- Potential profit
- $4.41
- Multiplier
- 27.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
Will Tyreek Hill play for the Kansas City Chiefs next?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.4%
- Current value
- $1.43
- Potential payout
- $4.41
- Potential profit
- $2.98
- Multiplier
- 3.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.69
Yes position
Will Czechia win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.23
- Potential profit
- $4.23
- User PnL
- -$1.1
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $3.92
- Potential payout
- $3.94
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $1.14
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $1.04
- Potential payout
- $3.92
- Potential profit
- $2.88
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $0.54
- Potential payout
- $3.71
- Potential profit
- $3.17
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.72
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $1.33
- Potential payout
- $3.36
- Potential profit
- $2.03
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Yes position
Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.9%
- Current value
- $0.4
- Potential payout
- $3.12
- Potential profit
- $2.72
- Multiplier
- 7.78x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $38.52
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.31
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.78
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.59
Yes position
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.14
No position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.98
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.83
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.01
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.78
Yes position
Will SpaceX file for an IPO by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 78°F or higher on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
Bushido Wildcats position
Game Handicap: SU (-1.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+1.5)
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72
Yes position
Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.69
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
Bruins position
Bruins vs. Blue Jackets
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $80 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 March 30-April 5?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
76ers position
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
JD Gaming position
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes 7% 25 shares
- Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?No 28% 7 shares
- Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?No 24% 5.25 shares
- Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?No 24% 5.25 shares
- Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?Yes 12% 10.18 shares
- Will Jaunā Vienotība (JV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?Yes 21% 1.58 shares
- Will Jaunā Vienotība (JV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?Yes 21% 9.21 shares
- Will Jaunā Vienotība (JV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?Yes 21% 9.21 shares
- Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026?Yes 11% 10 shares
- Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17% 5 shares
- Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026?Yes 11% 10 shares
- Will Texas Rangers win the 2026 AL West title?Yes 22% 5.8 shares