Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $398.81
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $791.67
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$101.19
Polymarket Trader
spongebobs
0x821febe09ea9331bbd3522b4ba2c325724d1f9c3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.88K
- Realized PnL
- $3.64K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $990.29
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $91.99
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$9.71
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $832.15
- Potential payout
- $909.45
- Potential profit
- $77.3
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $32.15
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $801.12
- Potential payout
- $875.54
- Potential profit
- $74.42
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.12
No position
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $875B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $438.08
- Potential payout
- $453.73
- Potential profit
- $15.65
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $38.08
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $30.52
- Potential payout
- $321.28
- Potential profit
- $290.76
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$119.48
No position
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $750B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $311.35
- Potential payout
- $313.54
- Potential profit
- $2.19
- User PnL
- $11.35
No position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $253.8
- Potential payout
- $305.79
- Potential profit
- $51.98
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $53.81
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $294.19
- Potential payout
- $294.19
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $94.19
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $140.24
- Potential payout
- $243.9
- Potential profit
- $103.66
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $40.24
No position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.6%
- Current value
- $138.29
- Potential payout
- $220.77
- Potential profit
- $82.48
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$61.71
No position
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $850B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $212.2
- Potential payout
- $219.78
- Potential profit
- $7.58
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $12.2
No position
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $210.07
- Potential payout
- $218.82
- Potential profit
- $8.75
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $10.07
No position
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $216.95
- Potential payout
- $218.48
- Potential profit
- $1.53
- User PnL
- $16.95
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $145.37
- Potential payout
- $185.19
- Potential profit
- $39.81
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $45.37
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $121.05
- Potential payout
- $131.58
- Potential profit
- $10.53
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $21.05
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $117.05
- Potential payout
- $120.48
- Potential profit
- $3.43
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $17.05
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $108.7
- Potential payout
- $108.7
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $8.7
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $98.55
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $1.45
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $23.55
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $12.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $87.5
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$17.5
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $3.96
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $37.71
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$6.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
Yes position
Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $616.34
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $365.5
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $250.57
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $232.01
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.1
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.27
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.05
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.01
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.12
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $59.3
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.42
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.95
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.82
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.83
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.46
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.75
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.53
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.18
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.56
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.31
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?No 92% 108.7 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?No 89% 224.72 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?No 93% 215.05 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?No 92% 217.39 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?No 89% 224.72 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?No 93% 215.05 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?No 91% 219.78 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?No 89% 224.72 shares
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $875B by June 30?No 94% 212.77 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 68% 147.06 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 68% 147.13 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?No 92% 108.7 shares