No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $466.77
- Potential payout
- $962.42
- Potential profit
- $495.65
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$235.12
Polymarket Trader
u3xwbd
0x823289ec2b521a1778ae62322b1317d77eb70ad1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $633.35
- Realized PnL
- $1.14K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $119.34
- Potential payout
- $127.64
- Potential profit
- $8.3
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $18.34
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Current value
- $5.25
- Potential payout
- $33.78
- Potential profit
- $28.53
- Multiplier
- 6.43x
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.4%
- Current value
- $16.64
- Potential payout
- $26.67
- Potential profit
- $10.03
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$6.36
No position
Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $11.44
- Potential payout
- $11.6
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $7.2
- Potential payout
- $7.36
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $5.68
- Potential payout
- $5.75
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $1.27
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $445.92
Yes position
Kemi Badenoch next Conservative party leader?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.15
No position
Will Harris win New Jersey by 10+ points?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.92
No position
Another US military action against Iran by Monday?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.99
No position
Kamala Harris blowout victory?
Ends Dec 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.7
No position
Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.72
Yes position
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.82
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.61
No position
US strike on Iran on June 23?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.39
Yes position
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.09
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.56
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.06
Yes position
Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.38
Yes position
Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.19
Yes position
Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.47
No position
Will Trump issue 15-19 executive orders on Day 1?
Ends Jan 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.26
No position
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.66
Yes position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.18
Yes position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.12
Yes position
Will Trump say "Get out and vote" during Pennsylvania town hall on October 20?
Ends Oct 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.67
Yes position
Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?
Ends May 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.25
Yes position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.67
Yes position
Will Fianna Fáil win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?
Ends Nov 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.51
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 92% 4.35 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 0.5% 7.4 shares
- Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 1% 22.72 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 69% 20 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 69% 20 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 69.3% 28.87 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 70% 42.86 shares
- Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 99% 63.88 shares
- Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 99.5% 25.64 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 99.7% 134.09 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 70% 14.29 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 71% 7.04 shares