Polymarket Trader

lexluthror

@zeroxluther

0x8233768a4f1379ed370987d4eff2130dfd4bdf36

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $9.5
Realized PnL: $3.14K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $169.49
Potential profit: $169.49
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.94
Potential profit: $114.94
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $9.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $90.5
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.9
Potential profit: $33.9
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $30.3
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.28
Potential profit: $21.28
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 16, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $649.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $359.58

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $347.46

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $295.62

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $243.81

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $211.07

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.91

T1 position

Valorant: T1 vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.25

Invictus Gaming position

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.75

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.91

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $76.17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.9

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.39

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.56

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.33

No position

Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $40.54

Yes position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.49

Top Esports position

LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.65

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.28

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.3

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.94

Aurora Gaming position

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 99.4% 100.5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 99.5% 100.5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 65.7% 152.12 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 39% 20.83 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 48% 20.83 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 43% 23.26 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 47% 76.92 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 6.3% 67.11 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

No 16.7% 597.03 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 75% 6.67 shares
Trump out as President before GTA VI?

No 49% 196.07 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 93.6% 1.07 shares