Polymarket Trader

Constantine1

0x823b925290f2876b7562e74ce38f761f469c4eb7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $9.74K
Realized PnL: $3.76K
Win rate: 70.8%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $94.41
Potential payout: $6.09K
Potential profit: $6K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$39.58

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.1%
Current value: $899.88
Potential payout: $5.61K
Potential profit: $4.71K
Multiplier: 6.23x
User PnL: $400.88

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $316.66
Potential payout: $5.6K
Potential profit: $5.29K
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$165.33

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $574.37
Potential payout: $5.6K
Potential profit: $5.03K
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$47.63

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.6%
Current value: $1.21K
Potential payout: $5.6K
Potential profit: $4.4K
Multiplier: 4.64x
User PnL: $305.34

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.1%
Current value: $730.96
Potential payout: $5.6K
Potential profit: $4.87K
Multiplier: 7.66x
User PnL: -$182.03

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $254.8
Potential payout: $5.6K
Potential profit: $5.35K
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$53.2

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $310.15
Potential payout: $5.59K
Potential profit: $5.28K
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: $120.15

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $147.96
Potential payout: $5.58K
Potential profit: $5.44K
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $13.96

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.8%
Current value: $428.66
Potential payout: $5.53K
Potential profit: $5.1K
Multiplier: 12.90x
User PnL: -$19.33

No position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $4.08K
Potential payout: $4.69K
Potential profit: $609.75
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $80.66

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 95.6%
Current value: $358.63
Potential payout: $375.33
Potential profit: $16.7
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $9.57

No position

Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $141.64
Potential payout: $292.04
Potential profit: $150.4
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$58.36

No position

Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $189.01
Potential payout: $200.12
Potential profit: $11.11
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $89.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58K

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $717.98

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $480

No position

EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.72

Yes position

Football.Fun FDV above $70M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.16

Yes position

Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.9

Yes position

Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.63

Yes position

USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.9

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.22

No position

Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.56

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.9

No position

Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93.7%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $11.63

No position

Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.38

No position

Will Base launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.04

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.98

No position

Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$54.01

Dubois position

Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2

Ends Jul 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$130

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$665.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?

No 93% 375.33 shares
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?

Yes 82% 243.9 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.2% 6,090.91 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.4% 5,583.33 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.4% 5,588.24 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.5% 5,600 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.1% 5,531.15 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.6% 5,604.65 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.9% 5,606.74 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.1% 5,603.6 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.1% 5,602.48 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.3% 5,601.23 shares