No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $971.15
- Potential payout
- $1.92K
- Potential profit
- $951.92
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$28.84
Polymarket Trader
0x8244...16a6
0x8244a31bdbb3b611f7d7b3440f54d5ff3d3f16a6
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $1.61K
- Realized PnL
- -$181.82
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 44%
- Current value
- $452.79
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $576.28
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- $86.1
No position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.4%
- Current value
- $83.41
- Potential payout
- $165.37
- Potential profit
- $81.96
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$1.59
Y
Yes position
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $99.83
- Potential payout
- $165
- Potential profit
- $65.18
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $0.83
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $360
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $345.24
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.89
Yes position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $94.74
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.28
Yes position
Will Roma reach the UEFA Europa League quarter-finals?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$134.95
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$232.56
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$782.46
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Yes 35.6% 1,029.07 shares
- Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 60% 165 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Yes 0.4% 476.45 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Yes 49.2% 141.11 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Yes 49.2% 335.35 shares
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?Yes 44% 411.9 shares
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?Yes 21% 411.9 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 42% 595.24 shares
- Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes 99.9% 263.15 shares
- Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes 38% 263.16 shares
- Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No 51.4% 165.37 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No 52% 1,923.08 shares