Polymarket Trader

Brucefii

0x824bb7f46ebde5399a80257b85bf82edacd58f39

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $12.75K
Realized PnL: $65.1K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.1%
Current value: $10.35K
Potential payout: $11K
Potential profit: $654.5
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $335.5

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $193.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $806.5
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $58.5

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.7%
Current value: $146.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $853.5
Multiplier: 6.83x
User PnL: $55.5

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $138.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $861.5
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$19.5

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.3%
Current value: $72.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $927.5
Multiplier: 13.79x
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $520
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $480
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: -$180

No position

Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $705
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $295
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$125

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $51.5
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $948.49
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: -$33.5

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.8%
Current value: $207.5
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $792.49
Multiplier: 4.82x
User PnL: -$721.49

No position

Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $265
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $734.99
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$145

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.9%
Current value: $108.49
Potential payout: $999.95
Potential profit: $891.46
Multiplier: 9.22x
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$275

Cavaliers position

Spread: Knicks (-5.5)

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$98

Yes position

EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $161.51
Potential profit: $161.51
User PnL: -$74.29

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$12.6

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$18

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.93K

Yes position

Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.47K

Yes position

Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.68K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.75K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.63K

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2K

No position

Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10?

Ends Jan 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.39K

No position

Will Trump win no swing states?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.93K

Yes position

Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.72K

Yes position

Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26K

Yes position

Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

No position

Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $999.26

Yes position

No Ethereum all time high in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $757.69

Yes position

Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $710

No position

U.S. fertility rate up in Q2 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $700

Yes position

Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $630

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $576.99

Yes position

EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $500

No position

Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $440

No position

Will Ethereum reach $3,750 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $440

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $408.61

Yes position

Bitcoin above $105,000 on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $349.83

No position

EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $260

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)

Canadiens 93% 50 shares
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)

Cavaliers 49% 118.08 shares
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?

No 95% 300 shares
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Yes 58% 500 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?

Yes 74% 100 shares
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Yes 91% 1,000 shares
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?

No 84% 1,000 shares
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Yes 89% 500 shares
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Bilibili Gaming 96% 150 shares
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Yes 87% 1,000 shares
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Yes 89% 1,000 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?

No 89.5% 500 shares