Yes position
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $28.57
- Potential payout
- $496.83
- Potential profit
- $468.26
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- $9.23
Polymarket Trader
ox825C9a38d7033Fc2f9d82432d3A1742C38EAdfa0
0x825c9a38d7033fc2f9d82432d3a1742c38eadfa0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $278.64
- Realized PnL
- $44.49
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $65.33
- Potential payout
- $353.14
- Potential profit
- $287.81
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$8.83
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.18
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $349.83
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.88
Yes position
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $270
- Potential profit
- $269.87
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $5.48
- Potential payout
- $243.63
- Potential profit
- $238.15
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- $1.08
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $27.84
- Potential payout
- $192
- Potential profit
- $164.16
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.44
- Potential payout
- $177.33
- Potential profit
- $176.89
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.71
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $3.27
- Potential payout
- $139.09
- Potential profit
- $135.82
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $121.96
- Potential profit
- $120.98
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.82
Yes position
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.75
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $6.89
- Potential payout
- $91.89
- Potential profit
- $85
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.38
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $15.25
- Potential payout
- $78.2
- Potential profit
- $62.95
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Yes position
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $76.2
- Potential profit
- $76.09
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$3.7
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $72.94
- Potential profit
- $72.94
- User PnL
- -$3.72
No position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $27
- Potential payout
- $70.14
- Potential profit
- $43.14
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $7.29
- Potential payout
- $69.41
- Potential profit
- $62.12
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$4.51
Yes position
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.16
- Potential payout
- $65
- Potential profit
- $64.84
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.34
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $23.05
- Potential payout
- $63.14
- Potential profit
- $40.09
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $3.46
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $52.18
- Potential payout
- $53.36
- Potential profit
- $1.17
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $27.28
Yes position
Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.38
- Potential payout
- $47.58
- Potential profit
- $47.2
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.19
Yes position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $3.52
- Potential payout
- $39.16
- Potential profit
- $35.63
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$1.99
Yes position
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
Ends Nov 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $38.33
- Potential profit
- $37.59
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.44
- Potential profit
- $31.44
- User PnL
- -$5.73
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $9.58
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $18.2
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $2.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.44
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.05
No position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.76
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.37
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
Y
Yes position
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.84
Yes position
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.12
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Multiplier
- 29.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.29
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.44
No position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.89
No position
Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.41
Yes position
Will Jasmine Crockett and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.92
Yes position
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$6.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 0.1% 8 shares
- Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 0.1% 5 shares
- Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 0.1% 5 shares
- Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 0.1% 5 shares
- Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 16% 10.69 shares
- Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 3.6% 60.28 shares
- Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 3.6% 60.28 shares
- Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 3.6% 60.28 shares
- Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 3.6% 60.28 shares
- Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 3.6% 60.28 shares
- Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 3.6% 60.28 shares
- Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 3.6% 60.28 shares