No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $2.86K
- Potential payout
- $3.94K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $589.82
Polymarket Trader
merlen
@merezanij
0x8262124952d88cb9b87e6060d9959ef002b0edde
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.8K
- Realized PnL
- $9.97K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Billions FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.27K
- Potential profit
- $2.27K
- User PnL
- -$203.91
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$14
No position
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 57.9%
- Current value
- $1.02K
- Potential payout
- $1.76K
- Potential profit
- $740.89
- Multiplier
- 1.73x
- User PnL
- -$64.27
Yes position
Will Opinion launch a token on March 9?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.45K
- Potential profit
- $1.45K
- User PnL
- -$23.5
No position
Nexus FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.38K
- Potential profit
- $1.38K
- User PnL
- -$324.09
No position
Nexus FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- User PnL
- -$203.19
No position
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $1.22K
- User PnL
- -$19.24
No position
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- User PnL
- -$328.82
Yes position
Will Opinion launch a token on March 11?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- User PnL
- -$4.53
Yes position
Will Opinion launch a token on March 3?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$18.94
Yes position
Will Opinion launch a token on March 2?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $999.99
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Opinion launch a token on March 6?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $899.99
- Potential profit
- $899.99
- User PnL
- -$24.3
Yes position
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $888.21
- Potential profit
- $888.21
- User PnL
- -$26.65
No position
Will ZachXBT release his investigation on February 26?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $850
- Potential profit
- $850
- User PnL
- -$36.8
Yes position
Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $5.05
- Potential payout
- $841.24
- Potential profit
- $836.19
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$55.77
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $820.62
- Potential profit
- $820.62
- User PnL
- -$93.89
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 36%
- Current value
- $288
- Potential payout
- $799.99
- Potential profit
- $511.99
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- -$98
Yes position
Will Opinion launch a token on March 10?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $794.26
- Potential profit
- $794.26
- User PnL
- -$11.52
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $288.02
- Potential payout
- $633
- Potential profit
- $344.99
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$91.79
No position
Printr FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $348
- Potential payout
- $600.01
- Potential profit
- $252
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- $159.23
No position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $580.02
- Potential profit
- $580.02
- User PnL
- -$237.81
Yes position
Citrea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $542.15
- Potential profit
- $542.15
- User PnL
- -$140.94
Yes position
Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $429.52
- Potential profit
- $429.52
- User PnL
- -$242.68
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
Yes position
o1 FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 94%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $871.8
Yes position
o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $768.84
Yes position
USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $594.41
No position
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $554.96
Yes position
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $524.91
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $512.16
Yes position
Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $491.77
No position
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $486.4
No position
Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $419.03
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $364.7
Yes position
USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $351.64
Yes position
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $311.04
No position
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 15?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $284
No position
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $282.33
No position
Printr FDV above $80M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $270
Yes position
Aztec FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $241.03
Yes position
OpenGradient FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $233.35
No position
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216
No position
Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $210.2
No position
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $203.1
No position
Will Solana reach $160 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.12
Yes position
Nexus FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes 70% 564.69 shares
- o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes 45% 100 shares
- o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes 42% 300 shares
- o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes 43% 234 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?No 67% 600 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?No 56% 2,084.05 shares
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes 38% 90 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No 43.4% 222.47 shares
- Will Ethereal launch a token by June 30, 2027?No 15% 20 shares
- Citrea FDV above $200M one day after launch?No 61.2% 124.21 shares
- Citrea FDV above $200M one day after launch?No 56.9% 69.2 shares
- Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes 5.5% 98.27 shares