No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $101.76
- Potential payout
- $106.38
- Potential profit
- $4.63
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.76
Polymarket Trader
0x826966406df511ae0cE273b55069Ec74f48De51B-1762884240580
0x826966406df511ae0ce273b55069ec74f48de51b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $158.95
- Realized PnL
- $37.13
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $31.16
- Potential payout
- $31.91
- Potential profit
- $0.75
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.16
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $26.03
- Potential payout
- $27.69
- Potential profit
- $1.66
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.93
- Potential profit
- $20.93
- User PnL
- -$18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.97
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.26
No position
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03
No position
Bitcoin above 81,800 on May 5, 4PM ET?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
Down position
XRP Up or Down on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
No position
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Up position
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Down position
Dogecoin Up or Down on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Ethereum above 2,385 on May 5, 4PM ET?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Up position
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will Romania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No 93.9% 27.69 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on July 9?No 96.5% 10.36 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes 61.5% 16.26 shares
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 97.9% 20.43 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 86% 20.93 shares
- Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?No 96.6% 20 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 93% 16.13 shares
- Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?No 89% 20 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No 95.6% 14.02 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 94% 74.47 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?Up 53% 8.45 shares
- Dogecoin Up or Down on May 8?Down 97% 8.25 shares