Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 8AM ET
Ends Oct 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
0x8271...0172
0x82719369960062437e69a1acab84d4b5de180172
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $923.55
- Realized PnL
- $121.42
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Bitcoin above $112.5K on August 20 at 4PM ET?
Ends Aug 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
eChamp Gaming position
League of Legends: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs. eChamp Gaming
Ends Aug 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be less than 4400 on August 18 at 5PM ET?
Ends Aug 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $118K on August 16 at 5PM ET?
Ends Aug 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $540.54
- Potential profit
- $540.54
- User PnL
- -$20
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8PM ET
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $186.02
- Potential profit
- $186.02
- User PnL
- -$136.19
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 3AM ET
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $155.67
- Potential profit
- $155.67
- User PnL
- -$146.55
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 65°F or higher on October 30?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $153.44
- Potential profit
- $153.44
- User PnL
- -$151.75
Up position
XRP Up or Down - November 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $133.33
- Potential profit
- $133.33
- User PnL
- -$132
No position
Will Japan GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 0.1% and 0.3%?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $123.5
- Potential profit
- $123.5
- User PnL
- -$122.21
Yes position
Will Trump say "China" during the State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120.37
- Potential profit
- $120.37
- User PnL
- -$117.45
Yes position
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $2.08
- Potential payout
- $118.6
- Potential profit
- $116.52
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$116.28
No position
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 85.6%
- Current value
- $101.42
- Potential payout
- $118.48
- Potential profit
- $17.06
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$16.94
No position
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 90.1%
- Current value
- $106.75
- Potential payout
- $118.48
- Potential profit
- $11.73
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$11.61
No position
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 91.7%
- Current value
- $108.59
- Potential payout
- $118.48
- Potential profit
- $9.89
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$9.77
No position
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $114.63
- Potential payout
- $118.48
- Potential profit
- $3.85
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$3.73
No position
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $114.92
- Potential payout
- $118.48
- Potential profit
- $3.55
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$3.44
No position
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $114.33
- Potential payout
- $118.48
- Potential profit
- $4.15
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$4.03
No position
Will Kahrabaa Ismailia FC win on 2026-05-04?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $118.15
- Potential profit
- $118.15
- User PnL
- -$114.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8PM ET
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $113.45
- Potential profit
- $113.45
- User PnL
- -$110.05
No position
Will Autodesk Q1 billings be above $2.0B?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $56.05
- Potential payout
- $112.1
- Potential profit
- $56.05
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$55.94
Yes position
Will Nicoletta Romano win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.98
- Potential profit
- $111.98
- User PnL
- -$110.86
No position
Will Manuel Gavira be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $111.22
- Potential payout
- $111.72
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- User PnL
- -$0.39
DFX Peek position
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs DFX Peek (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June Group C
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.4%
- Current value
- $93.57
- Potential payout
- $103.51
- Potential profit
- $9.94
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$8.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6PM ET
Ends Oct 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.57
Up position
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on November 26?
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.28
No position
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-10-31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.06
No position
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-11-01?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.05
Yes position
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2025-10-30?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.96
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.18
Yes position
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.02
No position
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 143m and 157m?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-05?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.98
No position
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 157m?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.77
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.72
No position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.69
No position
Will Valencia win on 2025-11-01?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.52
No position
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Qairat FK end in a draw?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.46
No position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.45
No position
Will Puerto Rico win Miss Universe 2025?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.13
No position
Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.96
No position
Will Trump say "April Fool" this week? (April 5)
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.95
No position
Will Trump say "Too Big To Rig" this week? (January 25)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.91
Seattle Redhawks position
Oregon State Beavers vs. Seattle Redhawks
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.69
Yes position
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.58
No position
Will Encore Medical’s market cap be greater than $55M at market close on IPO day?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.56
No position
Will Ismaily SC win on 2026-05-12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.47
No position
Will Ghazl El Mahalla SC win on 2026-05-07?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.46
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?No 99.4% 99.35 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?No 99.8% 99.61 shares
- Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?Yes 99.5% 99.91 shares
- Will anyone say "Hair" or "Hairy" during Rick and Morty E5 S9?No 99.9% 99.63 shares
- Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?No 98.6% 101.05 shares
- Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 16m?No 99.5% 100.4 shares
- Will "AI" be said 35+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?No 99.9% 8.08 shares
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of June 15 2026?No 99.9% 19.06 shares
- Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 23 be less than 80?No 99.9% 74.17 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?No 98.8% 102.95 shares
- Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 99.9% 101.71 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?No 97.7% 103.93 shares