Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $51.44
- Potential payout
- $57.47
- Potential profit
- $6.03
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.44
Polymarket Trader
Hollowbrookw
0x828d38c46c2c2b9683627e9c4e051da01f60dfb2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $51.44
- Realized PnL
- $15.91
- Win rate
- 88.9%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Warriors position
Warriors vs. Suns
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.39
- Potential profit
- $34.39
- User PnL
- -$14.44
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.88
- Potential profit
- $9.88
- User PnL
- -$8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.24
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.38
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 87% 57.47 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 83% 60.24 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No 97.3% 23.64 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 97.2% 25.8 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 93% 25.81 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?No 98.9% 25.28 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96% 25.77 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 97% 25.77 shares
- Warriors vs. SunsWarriors 42% 33.78 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes 99.9% 7.01 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No 99.9% 7.01 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 81% 9.88 shares