Yes position
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $625.53
- Potential profit
- $625.53
- User PnL
- -$467.15
Polymarket Trader
flathub
0x829262825edd5983d85a544d03fecb094e4c0fbd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $164.19
- Realized PnL
- $177.27
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $116.61
- Potential payout
- $119.85
- Potential profit
- $3.24
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $22.12
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.9%
- Current value
- $44.11
- Potential payout
- $48
- Potential profit
- $3.89
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $5.71
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $3.46
- Potential payout
- $41
- Potential profit
- $37.54
- Multiplier
- 11.83x
- User PnL
- -$27.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.96
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- $18.85
No position
ChatGPT Outage by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.52
Yes position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- $18.06
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.02
No position
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $13.04
Yes position
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.87
No position
ChatGPT Outage by March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.77
Yes position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Claude 4.7 released by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.84
Yes position
Claude 4.7 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.31
Yes position
Claude 4.7 released by April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.52
Yes position
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
ChatGPT Outage by March 27?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.37
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?No 79.6% 70 shares
- Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?Yes 16% 32.45 shares
- Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?No 70% 14.85 shares
- Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?Yes 81% 110 shares
- Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?Yes 95% 195.5 shares
- Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?Yes 44% 91 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?Yes 35.3% 300 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes 76% 141 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Yes 80% 168 shares
- Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?No 87% 55 shares
- Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?Yes 87% 164.24 shares
- Claude 4.7 released by May 31?Yes 99% 10 shares