Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.4%
- Current value
- $303.41
- Potential payout
- $1.48K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- Multiplier
- 4.89x
- User PnL
- -$39.48
Polymarket Trader
0x8299...f2c9
0x82999c87b46402328f33104a99f82fc46f6ef2c9
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $1.04K
- Realized PnL
- $51.22
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $717.99
- Potential payout
- $740.58
- Potential profit
- $22.59
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $15.59
- Potential payout
- $39.47
- Potential profit
- $23.88
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.38
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $0.43
- Potential payout
- $21.94
- Potential profit
- $21.51
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $156.26
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $26.28
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 88.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$1.72
No position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$14.19
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$115.41
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 23.1% 1,484.38 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 90% 100 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 65.6% 682.34 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 42.7% 682.34 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 60.3% 181.42 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?No 22% 524.6 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes 36% 501.62 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 91.7% 100 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 3.2% 536.31 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 61.5% 225.43 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes 43% 1,063.01 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo 60% 472.95 shares