OpenAI position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $312.17
- Potential payout
- $991
- Potential profit
- $678.84
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$84.23
Polymarket Trader
drigues
0x82a7aefe99b8b231bd600b8f61b249ba96f8afb5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $675.13
- Realized PnL
- $3.82K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $330.83
- Potential payout
- $401
- Potential profit
- $70.18
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$10.02
No position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $31.86
- Potential payout
- $36
- Potential profit
- $4.14
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $4.86
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $0.28
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.73
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Keir Starmer say "Iran" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $420.42
Yes position
Will Israel strike 2 countries in February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $378.73
Mercer Bears position
Mercer Bears vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneers (W)
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $341.22
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $297.45
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends by April 11, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $279.5
Yes position
Will "Elon" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.68
No position
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.58
Under position
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201.6
No position
Will "Spanish" be said at the Super Bowl?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.18
No position
Will there be at least 650 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.68
Yes position
Will Mark Rutte say "Peace" or "War" 3+ times during his speech on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.36
Yes position
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- $132.22
Yes position
Will USD.AI launch a token by April 30?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.57
Yes position
Will SpaceX have 12 or more launches in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.22
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.19
Yes position
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 21.8%
- Multiplier
- 4.59x
- User PnL
- $78.12
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 23, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $77.66
No position
Will SpyGlass Pharma, Inc.'s market cap be between $650M and $700M at market close on IPO day?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.48
No position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $63.72
Yes position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $61.59
No position
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $56.82
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 28 be less than 2,000,000?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.91
No position
Will Yonaguni be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52
No position
Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 23% 15 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No 45% 912 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?No 30% 292 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?No 30% 917 shares
- Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 27% 610 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No 47% 912 shares
- Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 28% 610 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?No 30% 1,209 shares
- Will Jordana Morais be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?No 70.1% 352 shares
- Will Jordana Morais be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?No 70.1% 658 shares
- Will Starmer say "National Security" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?No 60% 88 shares
- Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No 39% 576 shares