No position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $782.63
- Potential payout
- $808.92
- Potential profit
- $26.29
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $7.68
Polymarket Trader
0x82c6...1650
0x82c683e8e89227f61284cb0ad37423c700ff1650
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $1.2K
- Realized PnL
- -$19.09
- Win rate
- 41.2%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $413.42
- Potential payout
- $672.23
- Potential profit
- $258.81
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $36.97
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.33
No position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.62
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.59
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 87.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $9.07
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 62.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $5.7
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.51
No position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.73
Yes position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.84
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.56
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.64
No position
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.8
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.15
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Multiplier
- 18.87x
- User PnL
- -$8.75
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.9%
- Multiplier
- 2.64x
- User PnL
- -$12.97
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.89x
- User PnL
- -$15.18
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$60.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 84% 479.65 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 3.9% 441.25 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 82.7% 794.79 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseNo 57% 746.21 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseNo 55% 644.43 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseNo 54% 520.28 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 5.5% 1,004.58 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseNo 54% 180.19 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 94.2% 726.2 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 33% 506.01 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?No 98.7% 20.17 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 52% 126.68 shares