Polymarket Trader

Or404

0x82c9feae82d56eaab9d49a54c4ed2af37dc9bb32

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $119.74
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $416.67
User PnL: -$50

Trail Blazers position

Trail Blazers vs. Wizards

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $155.77
Potential profit: $155.77
User PnL: -$123

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $98.04
Potential payout: $98.04
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $58.04

Yes position

Databricks IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $17.89
Potential payout: $85.18
Potential profit: $67.29
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: -$22.11

Yes position

Deel IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $3.81
Potential payout: $84.69
Potential profit: $80.88
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$36.19

Trail Blazers position

Trail Blazers vs. Celtics

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.49
Potential profit: $58.49
User PnL: -$20

No position

SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.67
Potential profit: $26.67
User PnL: -$4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?

No 15% 26.67 shares
Databricks IPO before 2027?

Yes 47% 85.18 shares
Deel IPO before 2027?

Yes 47.2% 84.69 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Yes 40.8% 98.04 shares
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?

Yes 12% 416.67 shares
Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?

Yes 6% 1,666.67 shares
Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?

Yes 4% 1,622.54 shares
Trail Blazers vs. Wizards

Trail Blazers 79% 155.77 shares
Trail Blazers vs. Celtics

Trail Blazers 34.2% 58.49 shares
Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?

Yes 16% 2,200 shares
Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?

Yes 12.6% 3,822.54 shares

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