Polymarket Trader

JoeMama4Evah

0x82ca0a78c209857c8ae48e3d6e809de6afe944c8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $76.76
Realized PnL: $1.48K
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.15K
Potential profit: $2.15K
User PnL: -$67.55

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.75
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $698.25
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$52.25

Yes position

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $132.99
Potential profit: $132.99
User PnL: -$15.96

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $13.75
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $48.75
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $13.17
Potential payout: $36.58
Potential profit: $23.41
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: -$1.46

No position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $14.66
Potential payout: $34.09
Potential profit: $19.43
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 80.4%
Current value: $17.46
Potential payout: $21.73
Potential profit: $4.27
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $2.81

Yes position

FDA approves Viridian Therapeutics' Veligrotug?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $15.97
Potential payout: $21.73
Potential profit: $5.76
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $1.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39K

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon before March?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.22

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.74

Yes position

Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.48

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $6.62

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.48

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $6.14

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $5.99

No position

Will Israel withdraw from Philadelphi corridor by March 8?

Ends Mar 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

Yes position

Trump takes Panama Canal in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.47

Yes position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 54%
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: $2.22

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26

Yes position

Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.24

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Human moon landing in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Multiplier: 33.33x
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will it rain in LA by next Friday?

Ends Jan 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will the Eagles win the 2026 NFC Championship?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.37

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

No 98.4% 21.12 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

No 12% 107.14 shares
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 12% 107.14 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

No 22.5% 62.5 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?

No 1.1% 44.11 shares
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

Yes 27.4% 54.02 shares
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

No 70% 21.12 shares
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?

Yes 16.3% 88.23 shares
FDA approves Viridian Therapeutics' Veligrotug?

Yes 68% 21.73 shares
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?

No 42.3% 34.09 shares
Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?

Yes 40% 36.58 shares
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

Yes 23.7% 60 shares