No position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $18.07
- Potential payout
- $22.17
- Potential profit
- $4.1
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $11.56
Polymarket Trader
0x82cf...81f8
0x82cfba99ed1f2db5fd572dea9d58376ec0d981f8
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $31.6
- Realized PnL
- $46.67
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $8.88
- Potential payout
- $11.24
- Potential profit
- $2.36
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $5.85
Yes position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $0.66
- Potential payout
- $10.2
- Potential profit
- $9.54
- Multiplier
- 15.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $3.25
- Potential payout
- $3.37
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.23
N
No position
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
Ends Jul 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $0.74
- Potential payout
- $1.98
- Potential profit
- $1.24
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
N
No position
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.95
No position
Will there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.62
Yes position
Will the 2026 State of the Union have less than 35M viewers?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.58
Badosa position
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Katerina Siniakova vs Paula Badosa
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.15
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95
Western Carolina Catamounts position
Spread: Western Carolina Catamounts (-5.5)
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
No position
Will Trump say "Kamala" in Corpus Christi on Friday?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82
Yes position
Will Trump say "Voter ID" or "VoterID" in Corpus Christi on Friday?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Seattle Redhawks position
Spread: Saint Mary's Gaels (-10.5)
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79
No position
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73
No position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64
Under position
St. John's Red Storm vs. Marquette Golden Eagles: O/U 158.5
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
Yes position
Major US official out by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
USA position
Men's Final - Canada vs. USA
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
Howard Bison position
Spread: Howard Bison (-11.5)
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
Yes position
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" in Corpus Christi on Friday?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Under position
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys: O/U 158.5
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.97
Over position
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Penn State Nittany Lions: O/U 148.5
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 5+ times in Rome, GA on February 19?
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?No 29% 3.48 shares
- Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?No 29% 3.48 shares
- Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?No 51% 1.98 shares
- Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?No 53% 1.91 shares
- Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?No 53% 1.91 shares
- Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Australia vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?No 69% 1.46 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Yes 6% 1.74 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Yes 9% 0.49 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Yes 8% 0.51 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Yes 9% 1.13 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?Yes 17% 2.45 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Yes 26% 3.88 shares