Polymarket Trader

Spop3

0x82e3a4e64dbbc2881cf96183c8c91515beb52151

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.64K
Realized PnL: $4.57K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $15.63
Potential payout: $6.25K
Potential profit: $6.23K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$9.38

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $88.64
Potential payout: $4.55K
Potential profit: $4.46K
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$11.36

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $147.5
Potential payout: $4.17K
Potential profit: $4.02K
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: $97.5

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $120.24
Potential payout: $2.38K
Potential profit: $2.26K
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: -$79.76

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.4%
Current value: $280.68
Potential payout: $2.27K
Potential profit: $1.99K
Multiplier: 8.10x
User PnL: $30.68

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $304.78
Potential payout: $1.54K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $54.79

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 86.4%
Current value: $471.34
Potential payout: $545.85
Potential profit: $74.51
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$28.66

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $211.38
Potential payout: $491.59
Potential profit: $280.21
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: -$38.62

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 13?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.61K

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $676.96

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $326.72

Yes position

Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $206.94

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on December 18?

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.99

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $80 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.36

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.5

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.25

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on December 25?

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.77

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.04

No position

Will Shopify (SHOP) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on December 25?

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.33

Over position

Nottingham Forest vs. Manchester United: O/U 2.5

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.03

Over position

Wolves vs. Manchester United: O/U 2.5

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.41

Yes position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-13?

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.41

Over position

Newcastle vs. Manchester City: O/U 2.5

Ends Nov 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on December 16?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.95

Warriors position

Warriors vs. Spurs

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.91

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.5

Up position

Silver (SI) Up or Down on December 26?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.95

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.29

Over position

VfL Wolfsburg vs. Bayer Leverkusen: O/U 2.5

Ends Nov 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.29

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 7?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.24

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Yes 70% 1,142.86 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 91.6% 545.85 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11% 2,272.73 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.2% 1,543.21 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.4% 2,380.95 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.2% 4,545.45 shares
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.4% 6,250 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.2% 4,166.67 shares
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?

Yes 75% 204.52 shares
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?

Yes 75.1% 204.51 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Yes 99.6% 1,971.92 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Yes 60% 1,971.92 shares